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In our European Economic Review (2002) paper, we used pre-1998 data on countries participating in and leaving currency unions to estimate the effect of currency unions on trade using (then-) conventional gravity models. In this paper, we use a variety of empirical gravity models to estimate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015976
We investigate the relationship between GDP per capita, trade costs, demand, and income inequality between 1996 and 2011. Specifically we apply the aggregate AIDS-based gravity model as developed in Fajgelbaum and Khandelwal (2016) to a panel of 40 countries to generate a new measure of market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941166
market potential exhibits an upward trend across all regions of the world from the early 1930s and that this trend … significantly deviates from the evolution of world GDP. Finally, using exogenous variation in trade-related distances to world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981102
One of the most successful empirical relationships in international trade is the gravity equation, which relates bilateral trade flows between an origin and destination to bilateral trade frictions, origin characteristics, and destination characteristics. A key decision for researchers in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894434
We develop a multi-sector gravity model with heterogeneous workers to quantify the aggregate and group-level welfare effects of trade. We estimate the model using the structural relationship between China-shock driven changes in manufacturing employment and average earnings across US groups...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948914
The paper first extends and reconciles recent estimates of the strikingly large effect of national borders on trade patterns. Estimates comparing trade among Canadian provinces with that between Canadian provinces and U.S. states show interprovincial trade in 1988-90 to have been more than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778845
We incorporate trade imbalances into a quantitative model of bilateral trade in manufactures, dividing the world into … welfare would differ in a counterfactual world with all current accounts balancing. Our results indicate that closing the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760174
This paper studies empirically the effects of financial crises on international trade. The major findings are that banking crises had a negative impact on imports but a positive impact on exports in the short term, whereas currency crises decreased imports in the short term and stimulated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324031
Openness to trade is one factor that has been identified as determining whether a country is prone to sudden stops in capital inflow, currency crashes, or severe recessions. Some believe that openness raises vulnerability to foreign shocks, while others believe that it makes adjustment to crises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311905
This paper analyzes the financing terms that support international trade and sheds light on how and why these arrangements affect trade. Using detailed transaction level data from a U.S. based exporter of frozen and refrigerated food products, primarily poultry, it begins by describing broad...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124546