causes of the unemployment upturn in 1973-1983 and the subsequent decline in 1993-2006. Our results show that (i) the main … determinants of the unemployment rise in the 1970s and early 1980s were wage-push factors, the two oil price shocks and the … increase in interest rates, and (ii) the acceleration in capital accumulation was the crucial driving force of unemployment in …

This paper challenges what is the standard account of UK unemployment, namely that the major swings in unemployment … over the past 25 years are due predominantly to movements in the underlying empirical “natural rate of unemployment” (NRU … unemployment are due, instead, to very prolonged after-effects of persistent (transitory but long-lasting) shocks. We argue that (a …

The aim of this paper is to analyze and estimate salient characteristics of unemployment dynamics. Movements in … unemployment are viewed as "chain reactions" of responses to labor market shocks, working their way through systems of interacting … aggregate measures of unemployment responses to temporary and permanent shocks. These measures are temporal (depicting how long …

This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on "frictional growth" describing the … these shocks also generate plausible impulse-responses for unemployment. Although our theory contains no money illusion, no … permanent nominal rigidities, and no departure from rational expectations, there is a long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. …

This paper examines the movements in EU unemployment from two perspectives: (a) the NRU/NAIRU perspective, in which … unemployment movements are attributed largely to changes in the long-run equilibrium unemployment rate and (b) the chain …-reaction perspective, in which unemployment movements are viewed as the outcome of the interplay between labor market shocks and prolonged …

The evolution of Spanish unemployment has been quite idiosyncratic. The full employment levels of the early seventies … were followed by unemployment rates that were the highest within the OECD countries in the aftermath of the oil price … shocks. While unemployment was extremely persistent in most of the eighties and nineties, it experienced its sharpest decline …

underutilization, and unemployment arising from the decline of the tradable sector. …

fundamental role in shaping unemployment movements. This role has generally been examined by considering indirect transmission … channels of the capital stock effects, i.e. using variables like interest rates or investment ratios in the estimation of … single-equation unemployment rate models. Here we advocate a different approach. We directly estimate the effects of capital …