This paper challenges what is the standard account of UK unemployment, namely that the major swings in unemployment … over the past 25 years are due predominantly to movements in the underlying empirical “natural rate of unemployment” (NRU … unemployment are due, instead, to very prolonged after-effects of persistent (transitory but long-lasting) shocks. We argue that (a …

The aim of this paper is to analyze and estimate salient characteristics of unemployment dynamics. Movements in … unemployment are viewed as "chain reactions" of responses to labor market shocks, working their way through systems of interacting … aggregate measures of unemployment responses to temporary and permanent shocks. These measures are temporal (depicting how long …

sidelined the role of capital stock as a determinant of employment (Webster, 2003). As far back as 1991, Pissarides had argued … causes of the unemployment upturn in 1973-1983 and the subsequent decline in 1993-2006. Our results show that (i) the main … determinants of the unemployment rise in the 1970s and early 1980s were wage-push factors, the two oil price shocks and the …

This paper examines the movements in EU unemployment from two perspectives: (a) the NRU/NAIRU perspective, in which … unemployment movements are attributed largely to changes in the long-run equilibrium unemployment rate and (b) the chain …-reaction perspective, in which unemployment movements are viewed as the outcome of the interplay between labor market shocks and prolonged …

inequality and employment. To this end, we use annual data for the US, UK and Sweden over the past forty years and estimate … contributions of the labour share to the trajectories of inequality and employment during specific time intervals in the post-1990 … years. We find that during the nineties the cost of a one percent increase in employment was in the range of 0 …

This paper provides a critique of the "unemployment invariance hypothesis", according to which the behavior of the … labor market ensures that the long-run unemployment rate is independent of the size of the capital stock, productivity, and … equilibrating mechanisms to ensure unemployment invariance and that other markets may perform part of the equilibrating process as …

The evolution of Spanish unemployment has been quite idiosyncratic. The full employment levels of the early seventies … were followed by unemployment rates that were the highest within the OECD countries in the aftermath of the oil price … shocks. While unemployment was extremely persistent in most of the eighties and nineties, it experienced its sharpest decline …

fundamental role in shaping unemployment movements. This role has generally been examined by considering indirect transmission … single-equation unemployment rate models. Here we advocate a different approach. We directly estimate the effects of capital … stock in the labour market by applying the chain reaction theory of unemployment, and we find that capital stock is a major …

We distinguish and assess three fundamental views of the labor market regarding the movements in unemployment: (i) the … that all the short-run fluctuations automatically turn into long-run changes in the unemployment rate. We assert the …