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Probabilistic risk beliefs are key drivers of economic and health decisions, but people are not always certain about their beliefs. We study these "imprecise probabilities", also known as ambiguous beliefs. We show that imprecision is measurable separately from the levels of risk beliefs. People...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390526
. -- discrete choice ; random utility ; logit model ; consideration sets ; bounded rationality ; revealed preferences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009629645
This paper addresses the steep learning curve in Machine Learning faced by noncomputer scientists, particularly social scientists, stemming from the absence of a primer on its fundamental principles. I adopt a pedagogical strategy inspired by the adage "once you understand OLS, you can work your...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014535259
present a model which incorporates elements from the theory of information cascades with the standard model of tax evasion and … previous periods. General conditions exist under which any expected utility maximizing tax evaders will decide to emulate other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832265
Bayesian Updating is the dominant theory of learning in economics. The theory is silent about how individuals react to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306040
We consider the external validity of laboratory measures of risk attitude. Based on a large-scale experiment using a representative panel of the Dutch population, we test if these measures can explain two different types of behavior: (i) behavior in laboratory risky financial decisions, and (ii)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022694
-relevance of the task, we show that subjects update their beliefs optimistically because they derive direct utility flows from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013433247
, utility must be transferable both within marriage and upon divorce, and the marginal rate of substitution between public and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003460691
individual search specification implies gender differentials in lifetime utility inequality 74% larger. The results of our policy … experiments emphasize the importance of looking at lifetime utility inequality measures as opposed to simply cross-sectional wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009629634
preferences, with a focus on the measurement or control for potentially non-linear utility. While the objective of a time … preference experiment is usually to estimate parameters of a discount function, assumptions concerning the nature of utility may … assume an equivalence between utility under risk and over time, and whether they result in an estimate of the curvature of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011458093