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Forward guidance and household expectations

Coibion, Olivier; Georgarakos, Dimitris; Gorodnichenko, … - 2020

We compare the causal effects of forward guidance communication about future interest rates on households' expectations of inflation, mortgage rates, and unemployment to the effects of communication about future inflation in a randomized controlled trial using more than 25,000 U.S. individuals...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012177886

Fiscal policy and households' inflation expectations: evidence from a randomized control trial

Coibion, Olivier; Gorodnichenko, Yuriy; Weber, Michael - 2021

Rising government debt levels around the world are raising the specter that authorities might seek to inflate away the debt. In theoretical settings where fiscal policy "dominates" monetary policy, higher debt without offsetting changes in primary surpluses should lead households to anticipate...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431761

Fiscal zoning, sales taxes, and employment : do higher sales taxes lead to more jobs in retailing and fewer jobs in manufacturing?

Burnes, Daria; Neumark, David; White, Michelle J. - 2012

We test the hypothesis that local government officials in jurisdictions that have higher local sales taxes are more likely to use fiscal zoning to attract retailing. We find that total retail employment is not significantly affected by local sales tax rates, but employment in big box and anchor...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009533477

Finance and growth at the firm level : evidence from SBA loans

Brown, J. David; Earle, John S. - 2015

We analyze linked databases on all Small Business Administration (SBA) loans, on all SBA lenders, and on all U.S. employers to estimate the effects of financial access on employment growth. Our methods combine regressions with matching on firm age, size, industry, year, and employment history,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011309136

Fighting poverty : assessing the effect of guaranteed minimum income proposals in Québec

Clavet, Nicholas-James; Duclos, Jean-Yves; Lacroix, Guy - 2013

. -- Guaranteed Minimum Income ; ex ante evaluation ; labor market effects ; financial cost ; poverty alleviation ; public finance …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009721328

The impact of immigrants on public finances : a forecast analysis for Denmark

Hansen, Marianne Frank; Schultz-Nielsen, Marie Louise; … - 2015

All over Europe, ageing populations threaten nations' financial sustainability. In this paper we examine the potential of immigration to strengthen financial sustainability. We look at a particularly challenging case, namely that of Denmark, which has extensive tax-financed welfare programmes...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478966

Eine fiskalische Gesamtbilanz der Zuwanderung nach Deutschland

Bonin, Holger - 2002

The paper uses the long-term budget method of generational accounting to evaluate the overall fiscal impact of … residents, and accounting for the marginal cost of providing public goods, it is shown that immigration has a positive impact on …. Generational accounting indicates that the increase of individuals' net fiscal contributions, required to keep the government …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411849

Short-term impacts of targeted cash grants and business development services: experimental evidence from entrepreneurs in Burkina Faso

Grimm, Michael; Soubeiga, Sidiki; Weber, Michael - 2021

Most support programs targeted at small firms in low- and middle-income countries fail to generate transformative effects at a large scale due to bad targeting, too little flexibility, and the limited size of the support, among others. This paper assesses the short-term effects of a randomized...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705581

Finance, informal competition, and expectations : a firm-level analysis

Brancati, Emanuele; Di Maio, Michele; Rahman, Aminur - 2022

This paper documents the link between finance and informal competition. Using longitudinal firm-level data, we show … in firms' access to finance. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013288107

Religion in economic history: a survey

Becker, Sascha O.; Rubin, Jared; Woessmann, Ludger - 2020

This chapter surveys the recent social science literature on religion in economic history, covering both socioeconomic causes and consequences of religion. Following the rapidly growing literature, it focuses on the three main monotheisms -Judaism, Christianity, and Islam - and on the period up...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012239065