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Partisan impacts on the economy : evidence from prediction markets and close elections
Snowberg, Erik (contributor); Wolfers, Justin (contributor);  … - 2006
Political economists interested in discerning the effects of election outcomes on the economy have been hampered by the … indicators caused by clearly exogenous changes in expectations about the likely winner during election day. Analyzing high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003289884
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Gender differences in political career progression : evidence from U.S. elections
Brown, Ryan; Mansour, Hani; O'Connell, Stephen D.; … - 2019
election relative to an analogous impact for men who closely win or lose a state legislature election. We find that the effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012100340
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The COVID-19 pandemic and the 2020 U.S. presidential election
Baccini, Leonardo; Brodeur, Abel; Weymouth, Stephen - 2020
What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been 5 percent lower. Our paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012315469
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The electric telegraph, news coverage and political participation
Wang, Tianyi - 2023
Using newly digitized data on the growth of the telegraph network in America during 1840-1852, the paper studies the impacts of the electric telegraph on national elections. I use proximity to daily newspapers with telegraphic connections to Washington to generate plausibly exogenous variation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014315749
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Is demonstrating against the far right worth it? : evidence from French presidential elections
Lagios, Nicolas; Méon, Pierre-Guillaume; Tojerow, Ilan - 2022
We study the electoral impact of protesting against the far right by investigating the demonstrations held during the 2002 French presidential elections against far-right candidate Jean-Marie Le Pen. Instrumenting rally attendance with rainfall while factoring in that some municipalities never...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013407567
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Who misvotes? : The effect of differential cognition costs on election outcomes
Shue, Kelly (contributor); Luttmer, Erzo F. P. (contributor) - 2006
If voters are fully rational and have negligible cognition costs, ballot layout should not affect election outcomes. In … from the 2003 California Recall Election. We find that the voteshares of minor candidates almost double when their names … the 2000 U.S. Presidential Election and the 2004 Washington Gubernatorial Election. We explore which voting technology …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003499782
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Vote-buying and reciprocity
Finan, Frederico S.; Schechter, Laura - 2011
While vote-buying is common, little is known about how politicians determine who to target. We argue that vote-buying can be sustained by an internalized norm of reciprocity. Receiving money engenders feelings of obligation. Combining survey data on vote-buying with an experiment-based measure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009408719
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The relationship between federal budget amendments and local electoral power
Firpo, Sérgio Pinheiro; Ponczek, Vladimir; Sanfelice, … - 2014
The objectives of this paper are twofold. First, we investigate whether politicians use resources from the federal budget as a strategy to maintain and expand their political capital. Second, we examine whether such a strategy is rewarded by voters who elect politicians who assist their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010238205
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Candidates' quality and electoral participation : evidence from Italian municipal elections
De Benedetto, Marco Alberto; De Paola, Maria - 2014
We analyze the impact of the quality of candidates running for a mayor position on turnout using a large data set on Italian municipal elections held from 1993 to 2011. We firstly estimate a municipal fixed effects model and show that an increase in the average quality of candidates competing at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344923
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Candidate ballot information and election outcomes : the Czech case
Jurajda, Štěpán; Münich, Daniel - 2014
on higher candidate salience in small municipalities. We also quantify the election advantage of a slate being randomly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010457402