Showing 1 - 10 of 277
We revisit the effect of long run income growth on population fertility in some of the poorest countries in the world. Causal inference is enabled through proxying income windfalls by oil price shocks in oil rich versus oil poor provinces. Using various fertility measures as outcomes, we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013187887
We study the long-term determinants of the high rates of HIV infection in sub-Saharan Africa, particularly among women …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283191
Paul Samuelson made a series of important contributions to population theory for humans and other species, evolutionary theory, and the theory of age structured life cycles in economic equilibrium and growth. The work is highly abstract but much of it was intended to illuminate issues of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012027303
In this document, we consider the effects of a land reform on economic and demographic growth by a family-optimization model with sharecropping, endogenous fertility and status seeking. We show that tenant farming is the major obstacle to escaping the Malthusian trap with high fertility and low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337427
There are significant effects of changing demographics on economic indicators: growth in GDP especially, but also the current account balance and gross capital formation. The 15-24 age group appears to be one of the key age groups in these effects, with increases in that age group exerting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003900319
The demographic transition is introduced into the otherwise standard Ramsey model to generate multiple equilibria, poverty traps, and demography-driven cycles. The model is calibrated for global data to explore the demographic conditions under which multiplicity is realized. Three cases arise,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130124
We assess Africa's prospects for enjoying a demographic dividend. While fertility rates and dependency ratios in Africa … Northern America. This projection suggests Africa has considerable potential to enjoy a demographic dividend. Whether and when … these areas, coordinated policies will likely be most effective in generating the momentum needed to pull Africa's economies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011528105
The historical pattern of the demographic transition suggests that fertility declines follow mortality declines, followed by a rise in human capital accumulation and economic growth. The HIV/AIDS epidemic threatens to reverse this path. A recent paper by Young (2005), however, suggests that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003902438
This essay investigates the determinants of the growth performance of Africa. I start by illustrating a broader … institutional development. After reporting results from standard growth regressions, I analyze the role of Africa's peculiar history … influence, in and out of Africa, of the slave trades. The essay ends with critical conclusions and suggestions for further …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009310834
Do populations grow as countries become richer? In this paper we estimate the effects on population growth of shocks to national income that are plausibly exogenous and unlikely to be driven by technological change. For a panel of over 139 countries spanning the period 1960-2007 we interact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009753807