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conclusion. Therefore, the repugnant conclusion provides no methodological guidance for theory or policymaking, because it cannot …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012121586
the role of the econometric specification. We present a simple theory of the economic and demographic transition where … individuals' education and fertility decisions depend on their life expectancy. The theory predicts that before the demographic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003837588
In this document, we consider the effects of a land reform on economic and demographic growth by a family-optimization model with sharecropping, endogenous fertility and status seeking. We show that tenant farming is the major obstacle to escaping the Malthusian trap with high fertility and low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337427
This paper presents a non-Malthusian theory of long-term development We model the interplay between the process of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011413569
The demographic transition is introduced into the otherwise standard Ramsey model to generate multiple equilibria, poverty traps, and demography-driven cycles. The model is calibrated for global data to explore the demographic conditions under which multiplicity is realized. Three cases arise,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130124
Paul Samuelson made a series of important contributions to population theory for humans and other species, evolutionary … theory, and the theory of age structured life cycles in economic equilibrium and growth. The work is highly abstract but much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012027303
We set up an overlapping generations model with endogenous fertility to study pensions policies in an ageing economy. We show that an increasing life expectancy may not be detrimental for the economy or the pension system itself. On the other hand, conventional policy measures, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011855784
There are significant effects of changing demographics on economic indicators: growth in GDP especially, but also the current account balance and gross capital formation. The 15-24 age group appears to be one of the key age groups in these effects, with increases in that age group exerting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003900319
This paper combines a multi-period economic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) modelling framework with a demographic model to analyse the macroeconomic impact of the projected demographic trends in Scotland. Demographic trends are defined by the existing fertility-mortality rates and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003532995
This paper provides a demographic outlook of the Euro-Mediterranean region and then shows the economic and fiscal consequences of such demographic differences within a two-region model with international labor mobility. International labor mobility is also examined through an externalities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009523531