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The future of work : challenges for job creation due to global demographic change and automation
Abeliansky, Ana Lucia; Algur, Eda; Bloom, David E.; … - 2020
We explore future job creation needs under conditions of demographic, economic, and technological change. First, we estimate the implications for job creation in 2020-2030 of population growth, changes in labor force participation, and the achievement of plausible target unemployment rates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012169699
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Migration policy, African population growth and global inequality
Mountford, Andrew; Rapoport, Hillel - 2014
According to recent UN projections more than 50 percent of the growth in world population over the next half century … significant impact on the world distribution of income. In this paper we discuss the potential for migration policies to affect … more or less restrictive/selective migration policies and derive their implications for the evolution of world inequality. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010382705
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The role of demographics in precipitating crises in financial institutions
Macunovich, Diane J. - 2009
There are significant effects of changing demographics on economic indicators: growth in GDP especially, but also the current account balance and gross capital formation. The 15-24 age group appears to be one of the key age groups in these effects, with increases in that age group exerting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003900319
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Income and population growth
Brückner, Markus; Schwandt, Hannes - 2013
Do populations grow as countries become richer? In this paper we estimate the effects on population growth of shocks to national income that are plausibly exogenous and unlikely to be driven by technological change. For a panel of over 139 countries spanning the period 1960-2007 we interact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009753807
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Land reforms, status and population growth
Lehmijoki, Ulla; Palokangas, Tapio K. - 2014
In this document, we consider the effects of a land reform on economic and demographic growth by a family-optimization model with sharecropping, endogenous fertility and status seeking. We show that tenant farming is the major obstacle to escaping the Malthusian trap with high fertility and low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337427
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Fertility, mortality and environmental policy
Lehmijoki, Ulla; Palokangas, Tapio K. - 2016
This article examines pollution and environmental mortality in an economy where fertility is endogenous and output is produced from labor and capital by two sectors, dirty and clean. An emission tax curbs dirty production, which decreases pollution-induced mortality but also shifts resources to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596093
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Population growth and the tragedy of the commons : can trade prevent natural resource and welfare collapse?
Schiff, Maurice W. - 2024
Many developing countries depend crucially on open-access renewable natural resources (NR). Trade is generally viewed as hurting the long-term health of NR in commodity-exporting countries. I examine whether trade might be beneficial in the case of population growth. Dynamic general equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015044989
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Samuelson's contributions to population theory and overlapping generations in economics
Lee, Ronald Demos - 2019
Paul Samuelson made a series of important contributions to population theory for humans and other species, evolutionary theory, and the theory of age structured life cycles in economic equilibrium and growth. The work is highly abstract but much of it was intended to illuminate issues of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012027303
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The dire consequences of untamed population growth in the Netherlands
Hartog, Joop - 2024
In the postwar period, when fertility dropped substantially, immigration more than made up for the drop in population growth, and from 1950 to 2020, population increased by 73%, double the European rate, in a country with population density already among the highest in Europe. Yet, there never...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014529843
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Population aging and migration
Poutvaara, Panu - 2021
generate major increases in immigration pressure in the rest of the world, mostly in Europe. Other major questions on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519097