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Gambling habits and probability judgements in a Bayesian task environment
Dickinson, David L.; Reid, Parker - 2023
information sources. Exploratory analysis, however, revealed interesting effects related to self-reported gambling frequency …-reported gambling frequency was stronger for females. Decision modeling found a decreased weight placed on new evidence (over base rate … frequency of gambling to worse performance in the critical probability assessment skills that should benefit gambling success (i …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014311967
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Do measures of risk attitude in the laboratory predict behavior under risk in and outside of the laboratory?
Charness, Gary; Garcia, Thomas; Offerman, Theo; … - 2019
We consider the external validity of laboratory measures of risk attitude. Based on a large-scale experiment using a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022694
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Career lotto : labor supply in winner-take-all markets
Grove, Wayne A.; Jetter, Michael; Papps, Kerry L. - 2018
Are people prone to selecting occupations with highly skewed income distributions despite minuscule chances of success? Assembling a comprehensive pool of potential teenage entrants into professional tennis (a typical winner-take-all market), we construct objective measures of relative ability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011955395
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Why pay taxes when no one else does?
Epstein, Gil S.; Gang, Ira N. - 2009
present a model which incorporates elements from the theory of information cascades with the standard model of tax evasion and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832265
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Reverse Bayesianism: revising beliefs in light of unforeseen events
Becker, Christoph; Melkonyan, Tigran A.; Proto, Eugenio; … - 2020
Bayesian Updating is the dominant theory of learning in economics. The theory is silent about how individuals react to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306040
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Navigating ambiguity : imprecise probabilities and the updating of disease risk beliefs
Kerwin, Jason; Pandey, Divya - 2023
Probabilistic risk beliefs are key drivers of economic and health decisions, but people are not always certain about their beliefs. We study these "imprecise probabilities", also known as ambiguous beliefs. We show that imprecision is measurable separately from the levels of risk beliefs. People...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390526
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Lotteries vs. all-pay auctions in fair and biased contests
Epstein, Gil S.; Mealem, Yosef; Nitsan, Shemuʾel - 2012
The form of contests for a single fixed prize can be determined by a designer who maximizes the contestants' efforts. This paper establishes that, under common knowledge of the two asymmetric contestants' prize valuations, a fair Tullock-type endogenously determined lottery is always superior to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009675128
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Buying lottery tickets for foreign workers: search cost externalities induced by H-1B policy
Sharma, Rishi R.; Sparber, Chad - 2020
The H-1B program allows firms in the United States to temporarily hire high-skilled foreign citizens. H-1B workers are highly concentrated among a small number of firms. We develop a theoretical model demonstrating that this phenomenon is an artifact of policy design: When the government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316916
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Does self-control depletion affect risk attitudes?
Gerhardt, Holger; Schildberg-Hörisch, Hannah; … - 2015
within a particular range. We test the hypotheses in a lab experiment with a large number of subjects (N = 308), using a well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449223
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Beliefs and utility : experimental evidence on preferences for information
Falk, Armin; Zimmermann, Florian - 2016
Beliefs are a central determinant of behavior. Recent models assume that beliefs about or the anticipation of future consumption have direct utility-consequences. This gives rise to informational preferences, i.e., preferences over the timing and structure of information. Using a novel and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011528156