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Predictability of asset returns and the efficient market hypothesis
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2010
This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003985756
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Simultaneous search and network efficiency
Gautier, Pieter; Holzner, Christian - 2011
When workers send applications to vacancies they create a network. Frictions arise because workers typically do not know where other workers apply to and firms do not know which candidates other firms consider. The first coordination friction affects network formation, while the second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009310818
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Information characteristics and errors in expectations : experimental evidence
Antoniou, Constantinos; Harrison, Glenn W.; Igel Lau, Morten - 2015
We design an experiment to test the hypothesis that, in violation of Bayes Rule, some people respond more forcefully to the strength of information than to its weight. We provide incentives to motivate effort, use naturally occurring information, and control for risk attitude. We find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011347344
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Mind, body, bubble! : psychological and biophysical dimensions of behavior in experimental asset markets
Butler, David J.; Cheung, Stephen L. - 2018
Asset market bubbles and crashes are a major source of economic instability and inefficiency. Sometimes ascribed to animal spirits or irrational exuberance, their source remains imperfectly understood. Experimental methods can isolate systematic deviations from an asset's fundamental value in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870688
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Volatility and growth : governments are key
Jetter, Michael - 2013
paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries a positive direct effect, but also a … volatility is then ambiguous. The paper reveals the underlying endogeneity of government size in a balanced panel of 95 countries … increase of volatility lowers growth by up to 0.57 percentage points in a democracy, but raises growth by 1.74 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228789
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Financial markets, banks' cost of funding, and firms' decisions : lessons from two crises
Balduzzi, Pierluigi; Brancati, Emanuele; Schiantarelli, … - 2013
We test whether financial fluctuations affect firms' decisions, through their impact on banks' cost of funding. We exploit two shocks to Italian bank CDS spreads and equity valuations: the 2007-2009 financial crisis and the 2010-2012 sovereign debt crisis. Using newly available data linking over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010229932
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The variability and volatility of sleep: an archetypal approach
Hamermesh, Daniel S.; Pfann, Gerard A. - 2022
individuals' sleep time exhibits both variability and volatility characterized by stationary autoregressive conditional … young children at home. Volatility is greater among parents with young children, slightly greater among men than women, but … independent of other demographics. A theory of economic incentives to minimize the dispersion of sleep predicts that higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805079
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They are even larger! : more (on) puzzling labor market volatilities
Gartner, Hermann; Merkl, Christian; Rothe, Thomas - 2009
This paper shows that the German labor market is more volatile than the US labor market. Specifically, the volatility … vacancies) divided by the volatility of labor productivity is roughly twice as large as in the United States. We derive and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003896476
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Modelling volatilities and conditional correlations in futures markets with a multivariate t distribution
Pesaran, Bahram (contributor);  … - 2007
than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC estimation procedure is applied to a portfolio of daily returns on … suggest a general trend towards a lower level of return volatility, accompanied by a rising trend in conditional cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003586562
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Earnings instability of job stayers and job changers
Leonardi, Marco (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001838244