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than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC estimation procedure is applied to a portfolio of daily returns on …-DCC specification. The t-DCC model also passes a number of VaR diagnostic tests over an evaluation sample. The estimation results … suggest a general trend towards a lower level of return volatility, accompanied by a rising trend in conditional cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003586562
volatility significantly increases the mortgage delinquency risk. This pattern even holds for borrowers with higher …-income profiles if volatility in income is high enough. From this result we can draw the following conclusions: i) mortgage protection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002485593
European unemployment rates. They also generate positive comovements in macroeconomic variables and a large relative volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003879337
Traders in global markets operate at different local times-of-day. Suboptimal times-of-day may produce sleepiness due to daily variations in sleep/wake patterns and possibly also increased accumulation of hours awake. Global asset markets imply significantly increased heterogeneity in circadian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731909
paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries a positive direct effect, but also a … volatility is then ambiguous. The paper reveals the underlying endogeneity of government size in a balanced panel of 95 countries … increase of volatility lowers growth by up to 0.57 percentage points in a democracy, but raises growth by 1.74 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228789
proposed. The expression for a modified likelihood function is obtained for estimation and inference in a fixed-T context …. Using a bias-corrected likelihood approach makes it possible to reduce the estimation bias to a term of order 1/T². The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003936729
vanished, (ii) the relative volatility of employment has risen, and (iii) the relative (and absolute) volatility of the real … observed decline in output volatility. -- labor hoarding ; labor market frictions ; wage rigidities ; effort choice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008779865
What is the relationship between economic growth and its volatility? Does political instability affect growth directly … or indirectly, through volatility? This paper tries to answer such questions using a power-ARCH framework with annual … legislative changes) has an indirect (through volatility) negative impact. We also find preliminary support for the idea that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003557361
We provide new evidence about earnings and labour market volatility in Britain over the period 1992-2008, and for women … as well as men. (Most research about volatility refers to earnings volatility for US men.) We show that earnings … volatility declined slightly for both men and women over the period but the changes are not statistically significant. When we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009770646
Since the last recession, it is usually argued that older workers are less affected by the economic downturn because their unemployment rate rose less than the one of prime-age workers. This view is a myth: older workers are more sensitive to the business cycle. We document volatilities of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339640