Showing 1 - 10 of 2,356
account middle-inflation overestimate the impact of financial expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180406
affects how agents learn from new information. We show that as inflation has recently risen in advanced economies, both … households and firms have become more attentive and informed about inflation, leading them to respond less to exogenously … provided information about inflation and monetary policy. We also study the effects of RCTs in countries where inflation has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014311952
We study the link between expected inflation and wages using novel panel data from German firms and employees. We find … that pass-through - the percentage point change in wage growth given a one percentage point change in expected inflation … extensive margin, expected inflation has little effect on additional wage negotiations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015053872
Using a new survey of firms' inflation expectations in France, we provide novel evidence about the measurement and … formation of inflation expectations on the part of firms. First, French firms report inflation expectations with a smaller, but … the wording of questions matters for the measurement of firms' inflation expectations. Third, we document whether and how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012873113
Introducing a new survey of U.S. firms' inflation expectations, we document key stylized facts involving what U ….S. firms know and expect about inflation and monetary policy. The resulting time series of firms' inflation expectations … "anchored" expectations, the inflation expectations of U.S. managers appear far from anchored, much like those of households …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518200
In this paper, we build a new test of rational expectations based on the marginal distributions of realizations and subjective beliefs. This test is widely applicable, including in the common situation where realizations and beliefs are observed in two different datasets that cannot be matched....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011951089
inflation (sunspot shocks) affecting nominal wage bargaining. Since the estimated parameters fall near the locus of Hopf … bifurcations, country-specific expected inflation shocks can replicate the strong persistence and heterogeneity observed in …, choose to consume their current income. -- Unemployment fluctuations ; sunspots equilibria ; expected inflation ; wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003879337
Forecasting errors pose a serious problem of identification, often neglected in empirical applications. Any attempt of estimating choice models under uncertainty may lead to severely biased results in the presence of forecasting errors even when individual expectations on future events are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003816521
Each worker belongs to either the majority or the minority group and, irrespective of the group she belongs to, can have good or bad work habits. These traits are transmitted from one generation to the next through a learning and imitation process which depends on parents' purposeful investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003222508
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001808429