Showing 1 - 10 of 1,678
We study how individuals' memories of inflation shape their expectations about future inflation using both surveys and … the current inflation episode to last. Information treatments in which we show people prior disinflationary experiences … similarly strongly reduce inflation expectations of individuals on average and are often recalled as inflation memories months …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444241
This paper provides new survey evidence on firms' inflation expectations in the euro area. Building on the ECB's Survey … on the Access to Finance of Enterprises (SAFE), we introduce consistent measurement of inflation expectations across … firms' inflation expectations and show that firms disagree about future inflation more than professional forecasters but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014535260
inflation (sunspot shocks) affecting nominal wage bargaining. Since the estimated parameters fall near the locus of Hopf … bifurcations, country-specific expected inflation shocks can replicate the strong persistence and heterogeneity observed in …, choose to consume their current income. -- Unemployment fluctuations ; sunspots equilibria ; expected inflation ; wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003879337
We examine the efficacy of affirmative action at universities whose value depends on peer and alumni networks. We study an elite Brazilian university that adopted race- and income-based affirmative action at a large scale. Using employer-employee data, we show that a key benefit of attending the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805824
We study the link between expected inflation and wages using novel panel data from German firms and employees. We find … that pass-through - the percentage point change in wage growth given a one percentage point change in expected inflation … extensive margin, expected inflation has little effect on additional wage negotiations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015053872
This study evaluates potential migration flows to the European Union from its eastern neighbors and Croatia. We perform out-of-sample forecasts using an adaption of the model of Hatton (1995) to time series cross-sectional data about post-enlargement migration flows following the EU's 2004...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010194751
Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country and year fixed effects are added to panel estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries collected by the European Commission over 444 months between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013540387
account middle-inflation overestimate the impact of financial expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180406
We implement a survey-based randomized information treatment that generates independent variation in the inflation … expectations and the uncertainty about future inflation of European households. This variation allows us to assess how both first … and second moments of inflation expectations separately affect subsequent household decisions. We document several key …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015069388
experiment across seven colleges to evaluate the algorithm's effects on students. Placement rates into college-level courses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012583339