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While most empirical analysis of prediction markets treats prices of binary options as predictions of the probability of future events, Manski (2004) has recently argued that there is little existing theory supporting this practice. We provide relevant analytic foundations, describing sufficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003310964
Most demand -- especially labor demand -- is derived from the demand for some other product. This note demonstrates that the usual analysis of economic rent, as typically explained for the case of consumers' surplus, carries over to the case of derived demand. -- derived demand ; indirect demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003333109
Prediction Markets, sometimes referred to as "information markets", "idea futures" or "event futures", are markets where participants trade contracts whose payoffs are tied to a future event, thereby yielding prices that can be interpreted as market-aggregated forecasts. This article summarizes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003289880
In September 2002, a new market in "Economic Derivatives" was launched allowing traders to take positions on future values of several macroeconomic data releases. We provide an initial analysis of the prices of these options. We find that market-based measures of expectations are similar to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003227221
We study the role of ethnic networks in migrants' job search and the quality of jobs they find in the first years of settlement. We find that there are initial downward movements along the occupational ladder, followed by improvements. As a result of restrictions in welfare eligibility since...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003716528
We investigate the impact of health on working hours in recognition of the fact that leaving the labour market due to persistently low levels of health stock or due to new health shocks, is only one of the possibilities open to employees. We use the first six waves of the HILDA survey to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003716534
distributions in Australia. We are particularly interested in the role of gender segregation within sector-specific occupations in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003726799
countries (i.e., the UK, Ireland, Canada and Australia/New Zealand) to the United States. Comparisons with the native born are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003726800
This paper uses survey data on employment immigrants in Australia and the United States to identify the main …. (4) Within a sending country, Australia attracts less total but higher-skill migrants than does the United States. This … can be attributed, however, to the fact that the skill price in Australia is lower than the U.S. skill price, so that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003726801
and native-born bilinguals. The empirical testing for the US, Canada, Australia, Israel and Bolivia is supportive of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003729415