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A tacit monetary policy of the Gulf countries : is there a remittances channel?
Termos, Ali; Genc, Ismail H.; Naufal, George - 2015
The strong economic ties between the GCC economies and the U.S. are manifested in three ways: currency peg, coupling of monetary policy, and the adoption of the U.S. dollar as the trading currency for oil. This paper examines how these dynamics result in a misalignment of the U.S. monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472482
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Volatility and growth : governments are key
Jetter, Michael - 2013
paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries a positive direct effect, but also a … volatility is then ambiguous. The paper reveals the underlying endogeneity of government size in a balanced panel of 95 countries … increase of volatility lowers growth by up to 0.57 percentage points in a democracy, but raises growth by 1.74 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228789
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Government deficit shocks and Okun's coefficient volatility : new insights on the austerity versus growth debate
Binh Thai Pham; Sala, Hector - 2019
This paper connects two salient economic features: (i) Fiscal shocks have asymmetric effects across business cycle phases (Gechert et al., 2019); (ii) Okun's coefficient is time varying and may be unstable. The intertwined dynamic behavior of fiscal shocks and unemployment-output trade-offs are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012054782
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The recovery from the Great Recession: a long, evolving expansion
Shambaugh, Jay C.; Strain, Michael R. - 2021
Prior to 2020, the Great Recession was the most important macroeconomic shock to the United States economy in generations. Millions lost jobs and homes. At its peak, one in ten workers who wanted a job could not find one. On an annual basis, the economy contracted by more than it had since the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012405441
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Labor turnover costs, workers' heterogeneity, and optimal monetary policy
Faia, Ester; Lechthaler, Wolfgang; Merkl, Christian - 2009
zero and the optimal volatility of inflation is an increasing function of firing costs. The optimal rule should react to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003879356
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Why is old workers' labor market more volatile? : unemployment fluctuations over the life-cycle
Hairault, Jean-Olivier; Langot, François; Sopraseuth, … - 2014
Since the last recession, it is usually argued that older workers are less affected by the economic downturn because their unemployment rate rose less than the one of prime-age workers. This view is a myth: older workers are more sensitive to the business cycle. We document volatilities of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339640
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The active role of the natural rate of unemployment during cyclical recoveries
Hall, Robert Ernest; Kudlyak, Marianna - 2023
We propose that the natural rate of unemployment has an active role in the business cycle, in contrast to the prevailing view that the rate is essentially constant. We demonstrate that this tendency to treat the natural rate as near-constant would explain the surprisingly low slope of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014423725
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From riches to rags, and back? : institutional change, financial development and economic growth in Argentina since the 1890s
Campos, Nauro; Karanasos, Menelaos; Tan, Bin - 2014
individual effects on economic growth and volatility using the power-ARCH framework with annual data since the 1890s. The results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010440609
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How do trade and financial integration affect the relationship between growth and volatility?
Kose, M. Ayhan (contributor); Prasad, Eswar S. (contributor) - 2006
as conventional wisdom that output volatility and growth are negatively correlated. We reexamine this relationship in the … negative association between growth and volatility has been preserved during the 1990s, both trade and financial integration … volatility and trade integration is significantly positive. We find a similar, although less significant, result for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003464194
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The vanishing procyclicality of labor productivity
Galí, Jordi; Rens, Thijs van - 2010
vanished, (ii) the relative volatility of employment has risen, and (iii) the relative (and absolute) volatility of the real … observed decline in output volatility. -- labor hoarding ; labor market frictions ; wage rigidities ; effort choice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008779865