prove to be valuable tools in forecasting, decision-making and risk management -- in both the public and private sectors …

national security as of March 2022. Fourth, firm-level risk perceptions skewed heavily to the downside in spring 2020 but …

We evaluate the impacts of adopting algorithmic predictions of future offending (risk assessments) as an aid to … judicial discretion in felony sentencing. We find that judges' decisions are influenced by the risk score, leading to longer … evidence that this reshuffling led to a decline in recidivism, and, over time, judges appeared to use the risk scores less …

although risk can be measured, uncertainty cannot be measured. Even though risk can be measured, a simple symmetric measure … attempt at "measuring" risk or (fundamental) uncertainty is flawed. …

) we vary three payoff indices. Indices of risk and temptation capture the unilateral incentives to defect against … reduces cooperation. In neither study, nor in either subject pool of our second study, do we find a significant effect of risk. …

We conduct laboratory experiments to investigate basic predictions of principal-agent theory about the choice of piece … rate contracts in the presence of output risk, and provide novel insights that reference dependent preferences affect the … tradeoff between risk and incentives. Subjects in our experiments choose their compensation for performing a real-effort task …