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A key assumption in regression discontinuity analysis is that units cannot manipulate the value of their running variable in a way that guarantees or avoids assignment to the treatment. Standard identification arguments break down if this condition is violated. This paper shows that treatment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011428251
We study semiparametric two-step estimators which have the same structure as parametric doubly robust estimators in their second step, but retain a fully nonparametric specification in the first step. Such estimators exist in many economic applications, including a wide range of missing data and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009792511
In this paper we study doubly robust estimators of various average treatment effects under unconfoundedness. We unify and extend much of the recent literature by providing a very general identification result which covers binary and multi-valued treatments; unnormalized and normalized weighting;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339580
In cases of non-compliance with a prescribed treatment, estimates of causal effects typically rely on instrumental variables. However, when participation is also misreported, this approach can be severely biased. We provide an instrumental variable method that researchers can use to identify the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013286037
In empirical research, measuring correctly the benefits of welfare interventions is incredibly relevant for policymakers as well as academic researchers. Unfortunately, the endogenous program participation is often misreported in survey data and standard instrumental variable techniques are not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243324
Since the late 90s, Regression Discontinuity (RD) designs have been widely used to estimate Local Average Treatment Effects (LATE). When the running variable is observed with continuous measurement error, identification fails. Assuming non-differential measurement error, we propose a consistent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664486
This paper is concerned with testing the time series implications of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) due to … evidence against Sharpe-Lintner CAPM is found mainly during the recent financial crisis. Furthermore, a strong negative … during episodes of market inefficiencies. -- CAPM ; testing for alpha ; market efficiency ; long/short equity returns ; large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535779
By using a nonlinear VAR model, we investigate whether the response of the US stock and housing markets to uncertainty shocks depends on financial conditions. Our model allows us to change the response of the US financial markets to volatility shocks in periods of normal and financial distress....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198932
We estimate the transmission of the pandemic shock in 2020 to prices in the residential and commercial real estate market by causal machine learning, using new granular data at the municipal level for Germany. We exploit differences in the incidence of Covid infections or short-time work at the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448709
We combine a customized survey and randomized controlled trial (RCT) to study the effect of higher-order beliefs on U.S. retail investors' portfolio allocations. We find that investors' higher-order beliefs about stock market returns are correlated with but distinct from their first-order...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014580789