Showing 1 - 10 of 1,679
We exploit a quasi-experimental setting provided by an election day with multiple polls to estimate the effect of voters' turnout on the spread of new COVID-19 infections and to quantify the policy trade-off implied by postponing elections during high infection periods. We show that post-poll...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012604414
How do health crises affect election results? We combine a panel of election results from 1893-1933 with spatial … lasting shift towards left-wing parties. We argue that pandemic intensity increased the salience of public health policy …, prompting voters to reward parties signaling competence in health issues. Alternative explanations such as pandemic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014311628
We show that the Brazilian trade liberalization in the early 1990s led to a permanent relative decline in the vote share of left-wing presidential candidates in the regions more affected by the tariff cuts. This happened even though the shock, implemented by a right-wing party, induced a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012698641
A fat and a healthy good provide immediate gratification, and cause health costs or benefits in the long run, which are … misperceived. Additionally, the fat good (healthy good) increases (decreases) health care costs by increasing (decreasing) the … concerning the health effects of the consumption of fat and of healthy goods. The level of the fat tax is determined through …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011336980
This is the first study to examine the effect of experiencing a widespread, deadly epidemic on voting behavior. Using data on elections to the U.S House of Representatives and leveraging cross-district variation in HIV/AIDS mortality during the period 1983-1987, we document the effects of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012244757
What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we estimate the effect of COVID-19 cases and deaths on the change in county-level voting for Donald Trump between 2016 and 2020. To account for potential confounders, we include a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012315469
This paper sheds light on a neglected reason for women's underrepresentation in politics: crisis-induced gender gaps in incumbents' reelection with lasting negative effects on female representation. We use hand-collected data on 173,339 candidates in open-list local council elections (1997-2021)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014557590
We investigate the local effects of trade exposure and immigration on voting behavior in France from 1988 to 2022. We use the content of each candidate's manifesto to construct an anti-globalization voting index for each French presidential election. This index shows a significant increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015075844
Morocco's trade liberalization policies coincided with macroeconomic growth over the past two decades. The relationship between trade liberalization and individual-level labor-market outcomes, however, are not well understood. By combining three complementary approaches and modeling techniques,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014420406
We conduct a field experiment in 31 primary schools in England to test the effectiveness of different temporary incentive schemes, an individual based incentive scheme and a competitive scheme, on increasing the choice and consumption of fruit and vegetables at lunchtime. The individual scheme...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348301