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The strong economic ties between the GCC economies and the U.S. are manifested in three ways: currency peg, coupling of monetary policy, and the adoption of the U.S. dollar as the trading currency for oil. This paper examines how these dynamics result in a misalignment of the U.S. monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472482
We develop a theory of labor markets in a monetary economy with four realistic features: search frictions, worker productivity shocks, wage rigidity, and two-sided lack of commitment. Due to the non-Coasean nature of labor contracts, inefficient job separations occur in the form of endogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278008
Two extraordinary U.S. labor market developments facilitated the sharp disinflation in 2022-23 without raising the unemployment rate. First, pandemic-driven infection worries and social distancing intentions caused a sizable drag on labor force participation that began to reverse in the first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014550371
In the wake of the global energy crisis, many European countries used energy price controls to fight inflation and to …. In addition, during the energy crisis 2022 inflation rates rose dramatically and real wages dropped more than in any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014545082
high during 2016-2019, keeping inflation below the Reserve Bank's target band. Optimal monetary policy in 2016-2019 would …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373260
This paper evaluates the success of Inflation Targeting on inflation and growth on a large panel data set of both … evidence to show that the support for a successful Inflation Targeting policy is very weak or non-existent. We use various … the process by which inflation targeting is hypothesised to influence inflation and growth, Section 3 surveys this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012227388
We develop a model which shows that wages, prices and real income should grow faster in countries with low increase in their labour force. If not, other countries experience growing unemployment and/or trade deficit. This result is applied to the case of Germany, which has displayed a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012255659
Phillips-curve framework of low - often extremely low - response of inflation to unemployment could be the result of fairly … most Phillips-curve studies, that conclude that inflation has little relation to unemployment. We suggest that the flat …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014423725
This paper suggests that the weak empirical effect of human capital on growth in existing cross-country studies is partly the result of an inappropriate specification that does not account for the different channels through which human capital affects growth. A systematic replication of earlier...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009422482
Prior to 2020, the Great Recession was the most important macroeconomic shock to the United States economy in generations. Millions lost jobs and homes. At its peak, one in ten workers who wanted a job could not find one. On an annual basis, the economy contracted by more than it had since the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012405441