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There is a large body of literature analyzing the relationship between objective economic conditions and voting behavior, but there is very little evidence of how perceived economic insecurity impacts on political preferences. Using seventeen years of household panel data from the German...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009665560
This paper analyzes simultaneous voting on the wage tax rate and investment in public education with three overlapping generations and productivity differences inside each cohort. Wage tax revenue finances public education and social security benefits. The presence of productivity differences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002501914
Do voters place their trust in tried and tested leaders when uncertainty is high or do they prefer a new slate of leaders who are arguably more competent? To study this question, we make use of hand-collected data on 402,385 candidates who competed in open-list local council elections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347142
This paper explores the labor market returns to working on a victorious political campaign. Using unique administrative … 20 years. We identify sizable returns to working for a winning campaign, especially in areas with a large informal sector … and for workers connected to newly elected challengers. The returns are concentrated in the public sector, where connected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281242
on the exact design of the law. Consistent with rational, risk-based pricing, the effect on returns seems to be linked to … employers from acting in bad faith have more intra-firm risk sharing and lower expected returns. Vaguer legislation that …We study the effect of wrongful-discharge laws (WDL) on firm-level stock returns. We find disparate effects depending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012373128
with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and … considers the evidence on return predictability, risk aversion and market efficiency. The paper then focuses on the theoretical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003985756
Many studies estimate the impact of exposure to some quasi-experimental policy or event using a panel event study design. These models, as a generalized extension of 'difference-in-differences' or two-way fixed effect models, allow for dynamic lags and leads to the event of interest to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012256137
daily stock market returns is associated with a 0.5% increase in the number of fatal accidents. A battery of falsification … negative stock market performance influencing the number of fatal accidents, in particular among inexperienced investors, thus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011893801
By using a nonlinear VAR model, we investigate whether the response of the US stock and housing markets to uncertainty shocks depends on financial conditions. Our model allows us to change the response of the US financial markets to volatility shocks in periods of normal and financial distress....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198932
effect of psychological momentum on performance. We find that men's performance is significantly affected by psychological … line with evidence in the biological literature that testosterone, which is known to enhance performance of both men and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011455776