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Asset market bubbles and crashes are a major source of economic instability and inefficiency. Sometimes ascribed to animal spirits or irrational exuberance, their source remains imperfectly understood. Experimental methods can isolate systematic deviations from an asset's fundamental value in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870688
This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003985756
When workers send applications to vacancies they create a network. Frictions arise because workers typically do not know where other workers apply to and firms do not know which candidates other firms consider. The first coordination friction affects network formation, while the second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009310818
We design an experiment to test the hypothesis that, in violation of Bayes Rule, some people respond more forcefully to the strength of information than to its weight. We provide incentives to motivate effort, use naturally occurring information, and control for risk attitude. We find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011347344
The context of community-based interventions presents formidable problems for any evaluation analysis. Group …-randomized studies do possess ideal properties in theory, but in practice, grouprandomization might not be a feasible alternative at all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011339092
This paper reviews some of the most popular policy evaluation methods in empirical microeconomics: social experiments … evaluation literature. A workhorse simulation model of education returns is used throughout the paper to discuss and illustrate … estimation and simulation results. -- Evaluation methods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003771837
Much of the political economy analysis of reform focuses on the conflict of interest between groups that stand to gain or lose from the competing policy proposals. In reality, there is also a lot of disagreement about the working of the policy: in addition to conflicting interests, conflicting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003902085
This paper accounts for the value of children and future generations in the evaluation of health policies. This is … evaluation of current policies. Our model clarifies a series of puzzles from the literature on the "value of life" and on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003594436
Our research addresses fundamental long-standing concerns in the compensating wage differentials literature and its public policy implications: the econometric properties of estimates of the value of statistical life (VSL) and the wide range of such estimates from about $0.5 million to about $21...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003561666
This paper examines some recently proposed criteria for evaluation of the net social benefits of social programs. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013171589