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Transmission of US and EU economic policy uncertainty shock to Asian economies in bad and good times
Balcilar, Mehmet; Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin; Ozdemir, Huseyin - 2020
This study empirically examines the fragility of five major Asian economies (China, Hong Kong, India, Japan, and South Korea) to economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of US and EU, and oil prices in different state of the economies. To investigate these dynamics, we use the relative tail dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012226632
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Volatility spillover between oil prices and main exchange rates : evidence from a DCC-GARCH-connectedness approach
Ben Salem, Leila; Zayati, Montassar; Nouira, Ridha; … - 2024
contagion spillover volatility by focusing on a sample of major oil-exporting and oil-importing countries using daily data from …; during COVID-19; and during the Russian-Ukrainian war. Our results confirm the persistence of volatility for the series … volatility transmission between oil prices and exchange-rate markets. However, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014494631
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Does everyone use probabilities? : intuitive and rational decisions about stockholding
Binswanger, Johannes; Salm, Martin - 2013
We investigate the relationship between subjective probabilities of future stock market returns and decisions about stockholding. Specifically, we examine whether acting upon subjective probabilities is confined to individuals with high cognitive skills. We explore this question using data from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009721396
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On the impact of oil prices on sectoral inflation : evidence from world's top oil exporters and importers
Ben Salem, Leila; Nouira, Ridha; Rault, Christophe - 2024
This paper investigates the impact of oil price variations on sectoral inflation for a sample of 10 top oil importing and exporting countries. Specifically, we analyze the effects of oil prices on the consumer price index using monthly data spanning the July 2009 to February 2021 period. Two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014454468
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How do oil prices affect the GDP and its components? : new evidence from a time-varying threshold model
Ben Salem, Leila; Nouira, Ridha; Saafi, Sami; Rault, … - 2024
Revealing the precise thresholds at which fluctuations in oil prices start to affect gross domestic product and its various components (consumption, investment, expenditure and exports) holds significant implications for policymakers in both oil-importing and oil-exporting countries. Existing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014527191
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Oil exports and the Iranian economy
Esfahani, Hadi Salehi; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2009
This paper develops a long run growth model for a major oil exporting economy and derives conditions under which oil revenues are likely to have a lasting impact. This approach contrasts with the standard literature on the "Dutch disease" and the "resource curse", which primarily focus on short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003909263
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Oil price shocks and labor market fluctuations
Ordóñez, Javier; Sala, Hector; Silva, José Ignacio - 2010
(iii) they bring a new amplification mechanism for the volatility and should thus be seen as complementary of labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008779924
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The impact of oil revenues on the Iranian economy and the Gulf states
Dreger, Christian; Rahmani, Teymur - 2014
In line with the neoclassical growth model a persistent stream of oil revenues might have a long lasting impact on GDP per capita in oil exporting countries through higher investment activities. This relationship is explored for Iran and the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339608
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What remains after the oil boom is over?
Jelnov, Pavel - 2019
This paper links between Beckerian literature that shows that marriage is a normal good with respect to male income and the literature that explores cultural changes as a result of exogenous events. I use the oil crisis of the 1970s as a positive shock on some males. The analyzed outcome is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012005460
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Oil price shocks, monetary policy and current account imbalances within a currency union
Baas, Timo; Belke, Ansgar - 2017
For more than two decades now, current-account imbalances are a crucial issue in the international policy debate as they threaten the stability of the world economy. More recently, the government debt crisis of the European Union shows that internal current account imbalances inside a currency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011785688