labor market trajectories. Using an experiment to derive students' levels of overconfidence, and preferences for … and overconfidence, but not risk aversion, is systematically related with expectations about future earnings: individuals … in overconfidence and competitiveness explain about 18% of the gender gap in earnings expectations. These experimental …

-economic status and poorer health are relatively less likely to realize how unhealthy they are and this overconfidence is associated …

value of overconfidence). We present first empirical evidence on the existence of a motivation value of absolute … overconfidence that many microeconomic models build on. Moreover, we document that debiasing information increases the accuracy of … offer a novel strategy for identifying significant overconfidence at the individual level. …

the implications of overconfidence for worker welfare and firm profits, we estimate a structural learning model with … biased beliefs that ac-counts for many key features of the data. While worker overconfidence moderately decreases worker …

substantial overconfidence among new members about their likely visit rates and discuss how overconfidence may undermine the …

lead to a negative relationship between performance and overestimation, even if skill and overconfidence are unrelated. To … clarify the role of measurement error, we restate the Dunning-Kruger effect in terms of skill and overconfidence. We show that …

: overconfidence and uncertainty about performance. Since task-based goal setting is low-cost, scaleable and logistically simple, we …

holding positive beliefs. This finding provides a behavioral explanation why and how overconfidence can evolve in the presence …

−D). We show that the health overconfidence displayed by approximately 30% of the survey respondents is a clear risk factor … cases and deaths. Recent research has shown that health overconfidence can influence risky behaviors such as smoking and … for the implementation of effective interventions to temper overconfidence, particularly in uncontrollable situations like …