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Uncertainty shocks and unemployment dynamics
Kandoussi, Malak; Langot, François - 2020
Recent events suggest that uncertainty changes play a major role in U.S. labor market fluctuations. This study analyzes the impact of uncertainty shocks on unemployment dynamics. Using a vector autoregression approach, we show that uncertainty shocks measured by stock market volatility have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243477
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Oil price shocks, monetary policy and current account imbalances within a currency union
Baas, Timo; Belke, Ansgar - 2017
trade result in an asymmetric reaction to an otherwise symmetric shock. In this context, we show that oil price shocks can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011785688
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Monetary persistence and the labor market : a new perspective
Lechthaler, Wolfgang (contributor);  … - 2008
that the employment rate is slow to converge to its steady state value after a monetary shock. The after-effects of a shock … continue to exert an effect on the labor market even long after the shock is over. The sluggishness of the labor market … translates to the product market and thus the output effects of the monetary shock become more persistent. Under reasonable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003719627
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Causal effects of monetary shocks : semiparametric conditional independence tests with a multinomial propensity score
Angrist, Joshua D. (contributor);  … - 2008
Macroeconomists have long been concerned with the causal effects of monetary policy. When the identification of causal effects is based on a selection-on-observables assumption, non-causality amounts to the conditional independence of outcomes and policy changes. This paper develops a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003739948
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Monetary persistence, imperfect competition, and staggering complementarities
Merkl, Christian (contributor);  … - 2007
This paper explores the influence of wage and price staggering on monetary persistence. We show that, for plausible parameter values, wage and price staggering are complementary in generating monetary persistence. We do so by proposing the new measure of "quantitative inertia," after discussing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003557342
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Uniform and nonuniform staggering of wage contracts
Danziger, Leif - 2010
This paper provides a model that can account for the almost uniform staggering of wage contracts in some countries as well as for the markedly nonuniform staggering in others. In the model, short and long contracts as well as long contracts concluded in different periods are strategic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003983623
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The role of real wage rigidity and labor market frictions for unemployment and inflation dynamics
Christoffel, Kai (contributor); Linzert, Tobias (contributor) - 2005
cycle model. In particular, we analyze the effect of a monetary policy shock and investigate how labor market frictions … persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003227218
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Transmission of US and EU economic policy uncertainty shock to Asian economies in bad and good times
Balcilar, Mehmet; Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin; Ozdemir, Huseyin - 2020
This study empirically examines the fragility of five major Asian economies (China, Hong Kong, India, Japan, and South Korea) to economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of US and EU, and oil prices in different state of the economies. To investigate these dynamics, we use the relative tail dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012226632
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On the exposure of the BRIC countries to global economic shocks
Belke, Ansgar; Dreger, Christian; Dubova, Irina - 2017
The financial crisis led to a deep recession in many industrial countries. While large emerging countries recovered relatively quickly from the financial crisis, their performance deteriorated in the recent years, despite the modest recovery in advanced economies. The higher divergence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011631497
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Monetary policy and Swedish unemployment fluctuations
Alexius, Annika (contributor); Holmlund, Bertil (contributor) - 2007
preferred model, almost 30 percent of the maximum effect of a shock still remains after ten years. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003591475