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Probabilistic risk beliefs are key drivers of economic and health decisions, but people are not always certain about … measurable separately from the levels of risk beliefs. People with higher levels of imprecision update their beliefs more in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390526
In prosocial decisions, decision-makers face interpersonal uncertainty - uncertainty about how their choices impact others' utility. We use three approaches to show how it shapes classic patterns of prosocial behavior like ingroup favoritism, merit-based fairness, and self-favoring behavior....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015199844
risk preferences. Here, we develop an analogous tool for choice under uncertainty - the ambiguity triangle - and show that … characterize this heterogeneity with finite-mixture estimates of a one-parameter extension of Expected Utility Theory wherein 48 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011289313
We present first evidence how individual risk preferences shape entrepreneurial investment among the very wealthy using … standard measure of risk tolerance. We find that wealthy individuals are more likely to be entrepreneurs and invest a larger … ways strongly determined by individual risk tolerance. Since the wealthy dominate aggregate risky investment, their risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389043
households reduce their financial risk exposure when confronted with background risk. Our novel modelling approach - termed a … risk, and is unique in recovering for, any given risky asset class, the shares that are reallocated to a safer asset … category. Background risk exerts a significant impact on household portfolios, resulting in a 'flight from risk', away from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011594575
The ex-ante evaluation of policies using structural econometric models is based on estimated parameters as a stand-in for the truth. This practice ignores uncertainty in the counterfactual policy predictions of the model. We develop a generic approach that deals with parametric uncertainty using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517558
Using a new survey of firms in New Zealand, we document how exogenous variation in the macroeconomic uncertainty perceived by firms affects their economic decisions. We use randomized information treatments that provide different types of information about the first and/or second moments of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013329618
Do voters place their trust in tried and tested leaders when uncertainty is high or do they prefer a new slate of leaders who are arguably more competent? To study this question, we make use of hand-collected data on 402,385 candidates who competed in open-list local council elections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347142
national security as of March 2022. Fourth, firm-level risk perceptions skewed heavily to the downside in spring 2020 but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186704
. Finally we assess the role of risk, finding little evidence that risk-aversion drives a wedge between market prices and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003227221