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How does the economic uncertainty affect asset prices under normal and financial distress times?
Balcilar, Mehmet; Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin; Ozdemir, Huseyin - 2022
shocks depends on financial conditions. Our model allows us to change the response of the US financial markets to volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198932
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Groupthink : collective delusions in organizations and markets
Bénabou, Roland - 2013
This paper investigates collective denial and willful blindness in groups, organizations and markets. Agents with anticipatory preferences, linked through an interaction structure, choose how to interpret and recall public signals about future prospects. Wishful thinking (denial of bad news) is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009729409
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Transmission of US and EU economic policy uncertainty shock to Asian economies in bad and good times
Balcilar, Mehmet; Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin; Ozdemir, Huseyin - 2020
This study empirically examines the fragility of five major Asian economies (China, Hong Kong, India, Japan, and South Korea) to economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of US and EU, and oil prices in different state of the economies. To investigate these dynamics, we use the relative tail dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012226632
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Can price controls be optimal? : the economics of the energy shock in Germany
Krebs, Tom; Weber, Isabella - 2024
In the wake of the global energy crisis, many European countries used energy price controls to fight inflation and to stabilize the economy. Despite its wide adoption, many economists remained skeptical. In this paper, we argue that price controls should be part of the policy toolbox to respond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014545082
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Effectives of monetary policy under the high and low economic uncertainty states: evidence from the major Asian economies
Balcilar, Mehmet; Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin; Ozdemir, Huseyin - 2021
This study examines the monetary policy effectiveness of five major Asian countries (China, Hong Kong, India, Japan, and South Korea) using a quantile vector autoregression (QVAR) model-based spillover estimation approach of Balcilar et al. (2020b) at different quantile paths. To do this, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012549189
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Policies in hard times : assessing the impact of financial crises on structural reforms
Gokmen, Gunes; Nannicini, Tommaso; Onorato, … - 2020
It is commonly argued that crises open up a window of opportunity to implement policies that otherwise would not have the necessary political backing. The argument goes that the political cost of deep reforms declines as crises unravel structural problems that need to be urgently rectified and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012164495
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Volatility and growth : governments are key
Jetter, Michael - 2013
paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries a positive direct effect, but also a … volatility is then ambiguous. The paper reveals the underlying endogeneity of government size in a balanced panel of 95 countries … increase of volatility lowers growth by up to 0.57 percentage points in a democracy, but raises growth by 1.74 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228789
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On measuring uncertainty : snakes and ladders
Junankar, Pramod N. - 2016
measurement in influencing economic decisions. They attempt to measure uncertainty by indexes of volatility of the stock market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543578
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Business cycle effects of credit and technology shocks in a DSGE model with firm defaults
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Xu, TengTeng - 2011
This paper proposes a theoretical framework to analyze the impacts of credit and technology shocks on business cycle dynamics, where firms rely on banks and households for capital financing. Firms are identical ex ante but differ ex post due to different realizations of firm specific technology...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009488413
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Uncovering the mechanism(s): financial constraints and wages
Arabzadeh, Hamzeh; Balleer, Almut; Gehrke, Britta - 2020
and unemployment volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389827