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Trend-spotting in the housing market
Askitas, Nikos - 2015
Category of Google Trends. I call this ratio the Google US Housing Market BUSE Index or simply the BUSE index. It expresses the … S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index. Since the latter is monthly and published as a three-month moving average with a two … seasonal variations of this ratio the BUSE index recaptures traces of prospect theory whose applicability in the housing market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348297
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Predicting the Irish "gay marriage" referendum
Askitas, Nikos - 2015
On February 20 2015 Irish Premier Enda Kenny confirmed that a "yes-no" referendum on same sex marriage would be held on May 22 of the same year. A yes vote would legalise same sex marriage in Ireland. As the Irish premier put it, the vote was about "tolerance, respect and sensitivity". The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011407829
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Google econometrics and unemployment forecasting
Askitas, Nikolaos; Zimmermann, Klaus F. - 2009
The current economic crisis requires fast information to predict economic behavior early, which is difficult at times of structural changes. This paper suggests an innovative new method of using data on internet activity for that purpose. It demonstrates strong correlations between keyword...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003859346
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Detecting mortgage delinquencies
Askitas, Nikos; Zimmermann, Klaus F. - 2011
Economic hardship is strongly reflected by the housing market. It is the concern of much research, but its analysis is often obstructed by insufficient lagged data. This paper evaluates search intensity for "hardship letter" from Google Insights to detect ensuing mortgage delinquencies. Such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009312194
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Health and well-being in the crisis
Askitas, Nikos; Zimmermann, Klaus F. - 2011
The internet has become an important data source for the Social Sciences because these data are available without lags, can be regarded as involuntary surveys and hence have no observer effect, can be geo-labeled, are available for countries across the globe and can be viewed in continuous time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009235135
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COVID-19 and the future of US fertility: what can we learn from Google?
Wilde, Joshua; Chen, Wei; Lohmann, Sophie - 2020
We use data from Google Trends to predict the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on future births in the United States. First, we show that periods of above-normal search volume for Google keywords relating to conception and pregnancy in US states are associated with higher numbers of births in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012296246
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Incentives, search engines, and the elicitation of subjective beliefs : evidence from representative online survey experiments
Grewenig, Elisabeth; Lergetporer, Philipp; Werner, Katharina - 2019
A large literature studies subjective beliefs about economic facts using unincentivized survey questions. We devise randomized experiments in a representative online survey to investigate whether incentivizing belief accuracy affects stated beliefs about average earnings by professional degree...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993035
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A human capital index for the Italian provinces
Pasquini, Alessandra; Rosati, Furio Camillo - 2020
Italy, the use of such an index at national level may not be enough to have a clear picture of the human capital conditions … high heterogeneity into consideration, we develop a Human Capital Index for Italy disaggregated at provincial level. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012228187
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Regional measures of human capital in the European Union
Dreger, Christian (contributor); Erber, Georg (contributor);  … - 2009
The accumulation of the human capital stock plays a key role to explain the macroeconomic performance across regions. However, despite the strong theoretical support for this claim, empirical evidence has been not very convincing, probably because of the low quality of the data. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003793935
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Institutional arrangements, employment performance and the quality of work
Eichhorst, Werner; Marx, Paul; Tobsch, Verena - 2009
The observation of highly regulated, but successful economies has given rise to the hypothesis of various viable models of labor market adaptability. The paper presents a quantitative indicator that tries to avoid a simplified flexibility-rigidity dichotomy and provides a detailed picture of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003923585