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We bring the notion of connectedness (Diebold and Yilmaz, 2012) to a set of two critical macroeconomic variables as inflation and unemployment. We focus on the G7 economies plus Spain, and use monthly data –high-frequency data in a macro setting – to explore the extent and consequences of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012491801
There is increasing evidence that the interaction between shocks and labour market institutions is crucial to understanding the dynamics of employment. In this paper, we show that the inclusion of labour adjustment costs in a trade model affects the impact of exchange rate movements on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003959141
Examines the evolution of the cyclicality of real wages and employment in four Latin American economies: Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico, during the period 1980-2010. Wages are highly pro-cyclical during the 1980s and early 1990s, a period characterized by high inflation. As inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636567
trade result in an asymmetric reaction to an otherwise symmetric shock. In this context, we show that oil price shocks can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011785688
We examine the Exchange Rate Volatility (ERV) response to the Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) shocks from a panel VAR perspective used for the first time in this context. Focusing on Emerging Market Economies (EME), our noteworthy findings postulate that (a) both home and foreign EPU shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012239005
produced an unprecedentedly large shock to the UK exchange rate. In the 24 hours in June 2016 during which the UK electorate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022416
This paper identifies the causal effects of trade shocks on worker outcomes. We exploit a unique setting based on three pillars: (i) a large, unanticipated appreciation of the Swiss franc in 2015, (ii) detailed data with firm-level exposure to trade via output markets (both domestic and foreign)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014507637
Conventional empirical models of monetary policy transmission in emerging market economies produce puzzling results: monetary tightening often leads to an increase in prices (the price puzzle) and depreciation of the currency (the FX puzzle). We show that incorporating forward-looking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015084194
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001937672
in the estimation of an employment regression, focusing on the effect of exchange rate movements. Our estimates indicate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009153576