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How does small-firm employment respond to exogenous labor productivity risk? We find that this depends on the … depends on the weather. Weather risk reduces this employment, and the effect is stronger in regions where the regional banks … have less equity capital. Bank capitalization also proxies for the extent to which the regional banks' borrowers can obtain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013358738
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002120362
The current economic crisis requires fast information to predict economic behavior early, which is difficult at times of structural changes. This paper suggests an innovative new method of using data on internet activity for that purpose. It demonstrates strong correlations between keyword...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003859346
. Forecast uncertainty is evaluated in three different dimensions. First, we investigate the effect on forecasting performance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003561644
An important issue in the analysis of cross-sectional dependence which has received renewed interest in the past few years is the need for a better understanding of the extent and nature of such cross dependencies. In this paper we focus on measures of cross-sectional dependence and how such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009530816
Dynamic discrete-choice models are an important tool in studies of state dependence in benefit receipt. A common assumption of such models is that benefit receipt sequences follow a conditional Markov process. This property has implications for how estimated period-to-period benefit transition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011453987
This paper proposes a new approach for analyzing the relationship between macroeconomic factors and the income distribution. The conventional method of analysis is regression of summary inequality indices on variables such as the unemployment and inflation rates. Building on the lessons from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011403817
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001948511
This paper provides a long-term view by studying the effect of the underground or shadow economy on economic growth in the Unites States over the period 1870 to 2014. Shadow activities might spur or retard economic growth depending on their interactions with the formal sector and impacts on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011641560
In Europe differences among countries in the overall change in happiness since the early 1980s have been due chiefly to the generosity of welfare state programs - increasing happiness going with increasing generosity and declining happiness with declining generosity. This is the principal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013502264