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Methods matter : p-hacking and causal inference in economics

Brodeur, Abel; Cook, Nikolai; Heyes, Anthony - 2018

The economics 'credibility revolution' has promoted the identification of causal relationships using difference-in-differences (DID), instrumental variables (IV), randomized control trials (RCT) and regression discontinuity design (RDD) methods. The extent to which a reader should trust claims...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906306

Causal analysis after Haavelmo

Heckman, James J.; Pinto, Rodrigo - 2013

Haavelmo's seminal 1943 paper is the first rigorous treatment of causality. In it, he distinguished the definition of … Acyclic Graphs (DAG) used in one influential recent approach to causality (Pearl, 2000) and in the related literature on … causality, a central contribution of Haavelmo (1944). In general cases, DAGs cannot be used to analyze models for simultaneous …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010194763

Matching methods in practice : three examples

Imbens, Guido - 2014

There is a large theoretical literature on methods for estimating causal effects under unconfoundedness, exogeneity, or selection-on-observables type assumptions using matching or propensity score methods. Much of this literature is highly technical and has not made inroads into empirical...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259540

Identifying program benefits when participation is misreported

Tommasi, Denni; Zhang, Lina - 2022

In cases of non-compliance with a prescribed treatment, estimates of causal effects typically rely on instrumental variables. However, when participation is also misreported, this approach can be severely biased. We provide an instrumental variable method that researchers can use to identify the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013286037

The causal effect of trust

Bartling, Björn; Fehr, Ernst; Huffman, David; Netzer, Nick - 2018

Trust affects almost all human relationships - in families, organizations, markets and politics. However, identifying the conditions under which trust, defined as people's beliefs in the trustworthiness of others, has a causal effect on the efficiency of human interactions has proven to be...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011946494

Theoretical unification in justice and beyond

Jasso, Guillermina (contributor) - 2007

"The goal of scientific work is to understand more and more by less and less. In this effort, theoretical unification plays a large part. There are two main types of theoretical unification -- unification of different theories of the same field of phenomena and unification of theories of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003460687

Discretionary measures of active labor market policy : the German employment promotion reform in perspective

Fertig, Michael; Schmidt, Christoph M. - 2000

This paper provides a preliminary assessment of recent reforms of German employment promotion policy. While several recent studies analyze the impact of measures of employment promotion for the case of Germany, no comparable study exists on the aggregate level, thus precluding any assessment of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011336861

Evaluation of active labour market policy : methodological concepts and empirical estimates

Hujer, Reinhard; Caliendo, Marco - 2000

Persistently high unemployment, tight government budgets and the growing scepticism regarding the effects of active labour market policies (ALMP) are the basis for a growing interest in evaluating these measures. This paper intends to explain the need for evaluation on the micro- and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011339682

The economics of replication

Müller-Langer, Frank; Fecher, Benedikt; Harhoff, Dietmar; … - 2017

Replication studies are considered a hallmark of good scientific practice. Yet they are treated among researchers as an ideal to be professed but not practiced. To provide incentives and favorable boundary conditions for replication practice, the main stakeholders need to be aware of what drives...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011607618

Treatment effects and the measurement of skills in a prototypical home visiting program

Heckman, James J.; Liu, Bei; Mai, Lu; Zhou, Jin - 2020

This paper evaluates the causal impacts of an early childhood home visiting program for which treatment is randomly assigned. We estimate multivariate latent skill profiles for individual children and compare treatments and controls. We identify average treatment effects of skills on performance...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012237115

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