Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 733
Cover Image
Transmission of US and EU economic policy uncertainty shock to Asian economies in bad and good times
Balcilar, Mehmet; Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin; Ozdemir, Huseyin - 2020
Korea) to economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of US and EU, and oil prices in different state of the economies. To investigate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012226632
Cover Image
Uncertainty shocks and unemployment dynamics
Kandoussi, Malak; Langot, François - 2020
uncertainty shocks measured by stock market volatility have a significant impact on the U.S. unemployment rate. We then develop a …Recent events suggest that uncertainty changes play a major role in U.S. labor market fluctuations. This study analyzes … the impact of uncertainty shocks on unemployment dynamics. Using a vector autoregression approach, we show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243477
Cover Image
How does the economic uncertainty affect asset prices under normal and financial distress times?
Balcilar, Mehmet; Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin; Ozdemir, Huseyin - 2022
By using a nonlinear VAR model, we investigate whether the response of the US stock and housing markets to uncertainty … shocks depends on financial conditions. Our model allows us to change the response of the US financial markets to volatility … shocks in periods of normal and financial distress. We find strong evidence that uncertainty shocks have adverse effects on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198932
Cover Image
Counteracting unemployment in crises : non-linear effects of short-time work policy
Gehrke, Britta; Hochmuth, Brigitte - 2018
Short-time work is a labor market policy that subsidizes working time reductions among firms in financial difficulty to prevent layoffs. Many OECD countries have used this policy in the Great Recession. This paper shows that the effects of short-time work are strongly time dependent and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011845664
Cover Image
Real wages and the business cycles in Germany
Marczak, Martyna; Beissinger, Thomas - 2010
This paper establishes stylized facts about the cyclicality of real consumer wages and real producer wages in Germany. As detrending methods we apply the deterministic trend model, the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition, the Hodrick-Prescott filter, the Baxter-King filter and the structural time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009395
Cover Image
The dynamics of entrepreneurship : hysteresis, business cycles and government policy
Congregado, Emilio; Golpe, Antonio A.; Parker, Simon C. - 2009
This paper estimates an unobserved components model to explore the macro dynamics of entrepreneurship in Spain and the US. We ask whether entrepreneurship exhibits hysteresis, defined as a macro dynamic structure in which cyclical fluctuations have persistent effects on the natural rate of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003830249
Cover Image
On the exposure of the BRIC countries to global economic shocks
Belke, Ansgar; Dreger, Christian; Dubova, Irina - 2017
The financial crisis led to a deep recession in many industrial countries. While large emerging countries recovered relatively quickly from the financial crisis, their performance deteriorated in the recent years, despite the modest recovery in advanced economies. The higher divergence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011631497
Cover Image
Global macro-financial cycles and spillovers
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Otrok, Christopher M.; … - 2020
We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012178610
Cover Image
Volatility and growth : governments are key
Jetter, Michael - 2013
paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries a positive direct effect, but also a … volatility is then ambiguous. The paper reveals the underlying endogeneity of government size in a balanced panel of 95 countries … increase of volatility lowers growth by up to 0.57 percentage points in a democracy, but raises growth by 1.74 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228789
Cover Image
Why is old workers' labor market more volatile? : unemployment fluctuations over the life-cycle
Hairault, Jean-Olivier; Langot, François; Sopraseuth, … - 2014
Since the last recession, it is usually argued that older workers are less affected by the economic downturn because their unemployment rate rose less than the one of prime-age workers. This view is a myth: older workers are more sensitive to the business cycle. We document volatilities of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339640