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election results in India. We combine data on riots, which have been geo-coded, with electoral data on state legislature … elections and control variables on demographics and public goods provision to construct a unique panel data set for 16 large … districts. We find that riots occurring in the year preceding an election increases the vote share of the Bharatiya Janata Party …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011388302
the surprise 2016 election of Trump to identify the effects of a shift in political power on one of the most consequential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800554
We show that the Brazilian trade liberalization in the early 1990s led to a permanent relative decline in the vote share of left-wing presidential candidates in the regions more affected by the tariff cuts. This happened even though the shock, implemented by a right-wing party, induced a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012698641
-immigration politics on school bullying. We use variations in the timing of municipal elections in Italy and focus on the effect of Lega … Nord, a far-right party, with a strong anti-immigration platform. We demonstrate that in municipalities where elections …, while they are absent for municipalities in which Lega Nord has little support, where no elections occurred and for native …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012245042
about the presidential election's outcome as well as their economic expectations to document several new facts. First …, people disagree strongly about the likely outcome of the election, despite widespread publicly available polling information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306053
and the subsequent pursuit of a Congressional career. The empirical approach uses a sample of mixed-gender elections to … election relative to an analogous impact for men who closely win or lose a state legislature election. We find that the effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012100340
There is surprisingly little evidence on how terror attacks impact elections. With only a few exceptions, previous … comprehensive, multi-country examination of the effects of terror attacks on political opinions and election outcomes. The results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197466
political expression and results of congressional and presidential elections spanning the period 2000 through 2016, we find … to the divisive 2016 U.S. presidential election. Exploiting the exogenous component of rising import competition by China …). In presidential elections, counties with greater trade exposure shifted towards the Republican candidate (a rightward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012315433
What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … estimate the effect of COVID-19 cases and deaths on the change in county-level voting for Donald Trump between 2016 and 2020 … counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been 5 percent lower. Our paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012315469
Does poor air quality affect decision-making? We study this question based on elections, in which millions of people … decide on the same issue on the same day in different locations. We use county-level data from 64 federal and state elections … across election dates. Our results show that a high concentration of particulate matter (PM10) on an election day …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012620918