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Modelling volatilities and conditional correlations in futures markets with a multivariate t distribution
Pesaran, Bahram (contributor);  … - 2007
than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC estimation procedure is applied to a portfolio of daily returns on …This paper considers a multivariate t version of the Gaussian dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model proposed by …-DCC specification. The t-DCC model also passes a number of VaR diagnostic tests over an evaluation sample. The estimation results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003586562
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The cyclicality of labor market flows : a multiple-shock approach
Hairault, Jean-Olivier; Zhutova, Anastasia - 2014
contribution of the two transition rates to the volatility of unemployment, whereas the search shock implies a disproportionate … shock to the profitability of a match (the aggregate shock), a shock specific to the existing jobs (job-specific shock) and … a shock to the efficiency of the matching process (search shock). The two former shocks generate a quite balanced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417964
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Employment, exchange rates and labour market rigidity
Alexandre, Fernando; Bação, Pedro; Cerejeira, João; … - 2010
There is increasing evidence that the interaction between shocks and labour market institutions is crucial to understanding the dynamics of employment. In this paper, we show that the inclusion of labour adjustment costs in a trade model affects the impact of exchange rate movements on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003959141
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Government deficit shocks and Okun's coefficient volatility : new insights on the austerity versus growth debate
Binh Thai Pham; Sala, Hector - 2019
This paper connects two salient economic features: (i) Fiscal shocks have asymmetric effects across business cycle phases (Gechert et al., 2019); (ii) Okun's coefficient is time varying and may be unstable. The intertwined dynamic behavior of fiscal shocks and unemployment-output trade-offs are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012054782
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Bayesian panel quantile regression for binary outcomes with correlated random effects : an application on crime recidivism in Canada
Bresson, Georges; Lacroix, Guy; Rahman, Mohammad Arshad - 2020
This article develops a Bayesian approach for estimating panel quantile regression with binary outcomes in the presence of correlated random effects. We construct a working likelihood using an asymmetric Laplace (AL) error distribution and combine it with suitable prior distributions to obtain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012163022
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Stochastic complementarity
Manzini, Paola; Mariotti, Marco; Ülkü, Levent - 2018
The Hicksian definition of complementarity and substitutability may not apply in contexts in which agents are not utility maximisers or where price or income variations, whether implicit or explicit, are not available. We look for tools to identify complementarity and substitutability satisfying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011795820
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Evolving wage cyclicality in Latin America
Gambetti, Luca; Messina, Julián - 2017
Examines the evolution of the cyclicality of real wages and employment in four Latin American economies: Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico, during the period 1980-2010. Wages are highly pro-cyclical during the 1980s and early 1990s, a period characterized by high inflation. As inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636567
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Transmission of US and EU economic policy uncertainty shock to Asian economies in bad and good times
Balcilar, Mehmet; Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin; Ozdemir, Huseyin - 2020
This study empirically examines the fragility of five major Asian economies (China, Hong Kong, India, Japan, and South Korea) to economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of US and EU, and oil prices in different state of the economies. To investigate these dynamics, we use the relative tail dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012226632
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On the exchange rate and economic policy uncertainty nexus: a panel VAR approach for emerging markets
Abid, Abir; Rault, Christophe - 2020
We examine the Exchange Rate Volatility (ERV) response to the Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) shocks from a panel VAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012239005
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Heterogeneous impacts of trade shocks on workers
Arni, Patrick; Egger, Peter; Erhardt, Katharina; … - 2024
This paper identifies the causal effects of trade shocks on worker outcomes. We exploit a unique setting based on three pillars: (i) a large, unanticipated appreciation of the Swiss franc in 2015, (ii) detailed data with firm-level exposure to trade via output markets (both domestic and foreign)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014507637