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International trade and its effects on economic growth in China
Sun, Peng; Heshmati, Almas - 2010
the country to target the world as its market. This research discusses the role of international trade in China's economic … growth. It starts with a review of conceptions as well as the evolution of China's international trade regime and the policy … that China has taken in favor of trade sectors. In addition, China's international trade performance is analyzed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008989717
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Real exchange rate, foreign trade and employment : evidence from China
Zeng, Xiangquan; Yuxue, Cui; Shisong, Qing; Yumei, Yang - 2011
Coordination of macro-economic development and employment is an essential issue for China's social development, which …, while the export growth also plays a positive role in employment promotion. -- China ; employment ; foreign trade ; real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009379516
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The rise of the East and the Far East : German labor markets and trade integration
Dauth, Wolfgang; Findeisen, Sebastian; Südekum, Jens - 2012
We analyze the effects of the unprecedented rise in trade between Germany and "the East" - China and Eastern Europe … ; employment ; China ; Eastern Europe ; Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009558995
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Importing air pollution? : evidence from China's plastic waste imports
Unfried, Kerstin; Wang, Feicheng - 2022
recipient countries. As the largest recipient, China has permanently banned the imports of plastic waste since 2018. This paper … examines the causal effect of plastic waste imports on air pollution by exploiting China’s experience of importing plastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013173563
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Five open questions about prediction markets
Wolfers, Justin (contributor); Zitzewitz, Eric (contributor) - 2006
Interest in prediction markets has increased in the last decade, driven in part by the hope that these markets will prove to be valuable tools in forecasting, decision-making and risk management -- in both the public and private sectors. This paper outlines five open questions in the literature,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003278954
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Competing approaches to forecasting elections : economic models, opinion polling and prediction markets
Leigh, Andrew (contributor); Wolfers, Justin (contributor) - 2006
We review the efficacy of three approaches to forecasting elections: econometric models that project outcomes on the basis of the state of the economy; public opinion polls; and election betting (prediction markets). We assess the efficacy of each in light of the 2004 Australian election. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003334619
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Prediction markets for economic forecasting
Snowberg, Erik; Wolfers, Justin; Zitzewitz, Eric - 2012
Prediction markets - markets used to forecast future events - have been used to accurately forecast the outcome of political contests, sporting events, and, occasionally, economic outcomes. This chapter summarizes the latest research on prediction markets in order to further their utilization by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009568582
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Exponential growth bias in the prediction of COVID-19 spread and economic expectation
Banerjee, Ritwik; Majumdar, Priyama - 2020
Exponential growth bias (EGB) is the pervasive tendency of people to perceive a growth process as linear when, in fact, it is exponential. In this paper, we document that people exhibit EGB when asked to predict the number of COVID-19 positive cases in the future. The bias is positively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012288390
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Sudden stop: when did firms anticipate the potential consequences of COVID-19?
Buchheim, Lukas; Krolage, Carla; Link, Sebastian - 2020
measures, even if they relied on inputs from China or Italy. The local, county-level spread of COVID-19 cases affected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012248894
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Should contact bans be lifted in Germany? : a quantitative prediction of its effects
Donsimoni, Jean Roch; Glawion, René; Plachter, Bodo; … - 2020
Many countries consider the lifting of restrictions of social contacts (RSC). We quantify the effects of RSC for Germany. We initially employ a purely statistical approach to predicting prevalence of COVID19 if RSC were upheld after April 20. We employ these findings and feed them into our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012202358