Showing 1 - 10 of 193
We quantify and study state-level economic policy uncertainty. Tapping digital archives for nearly 3,500 local … newspapers, we construct three monthly indexes for each state: one that captures state and local sources of policy uncertainty … uncertainty much more than the average election. The COVID-19 pandemic drove huge increases in policy uncertainty and unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170258
production and consumer price index under the high and low levels of uncertainty. The full sample results from our analysis … periods of high economic uncertainty. Furthermore, this approach also allows us to uncover asymmetric effects of economic … policy uncertainty and lending rate on macroeconomic indicators. The impacts of interest rate and domestic and foreign (US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012549189
We examine the Exchange Rate Volatility (ERV) response to the Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) shocks from a panel VAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012239005
Korea) to economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of US and EU, and oil prices in different state of the economies. To investigate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012226632
Governments around the world want to develop their ICT and digital industries. Policymakers thus need a clear sense of the size and characteristics of digital businesses, but this is hard to do with conventional datasets and industry codes. This paper uses innovative "big data" resources to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010440545
uncertainty of remittance income inflows affects the accumulation of human, physical and financial assets of Mexican households …, while accounting for the level of transfers from family abroad. We find that both the level and the uncertainty of … income hypothesis and theories of precautionary saving, a one standard deviation increase in the uncertainty of remittance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010250041
surge in the stock market would be self-correcting. Recent papers have discussed the role of "uncertainty" and its … measurement in influencing economic decisions. They attempt to measure uncertainty by indexes of volatility of the stock market …, GDP, forecaster disagreement, mentions of uncertainty in news media, and the dispersion of productivity shocks to firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543578
of uncertainty and of rationing efficiency. We show that regulatory uncertainty does not diminish the rationale for … intervention, but may require a low minimum wage that may not bind. With expected earnings-maximization, greater uncertainty widens …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011407940
short-time window to test the impact of deteriorating expectations and uncertainty on firms' R&D choices. Our results show a … critically shape firms' reactions to the general uncertainty. Two main patterns emerge from our analysis. On the one hand, there … persistence of R&D choices after uncertainty shocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705555
We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at … nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one …-year VIX and our survey-based measure of firm-level uncertainty at a one-year forecast horizon doubled at the onset of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186704