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We study belief updating about relative performance in an ego-relevant task. Manipulating the perceived ego-relevance of the task, we show that subjects update their beliefs optimistically because they derive direct utility flows from holding positive beliefs. This finding provides a behavioral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013433247
exchange. The experiment tightly tests the predictions of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006), as when the probability of forced exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010436164
In many economic contexts, an elusive variable of interest is the agent's expectation about relevant events, e.g. about other agents' behavior. Recent experimental studies as well as surveys have asked participants to state their beliefs explicitly, but little is known about the causal relation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003935173
Response times are a simple low-cost indicator of the process of reasoning in strategic games (Rubinstein, 2007; Rubinstein, 2016). We leverage the dynamic nature of response-time data from repeated strategic interactions to measure the strategic complexity of a situation by how long people think on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011607565
Response times are a simple low-cost indicator of the process of reasoning in strategic games. In this paper, we leverage the dynamic nature of response-time data from repeated strategic interactions to measure the strategic complexity of a situation by how long people think on average when they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191643
Beliefs are a central determinant of behavior. Recent models assume that beliefs about or the anticipation of future consumption have direct utility-consequences. This gives rise to informational preferences, i.e., preferences over the timing and structure of information. Using a novel and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011528156
decision making in complex decision tasks relative to conscious thought. Different from prior work testing this prediction, we … processing in complex decision making. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011580853
). We conduct a laboratory experiment in which subjects make decision on behalf of themselves and others in eighteen tasks … aversion, decoy effect, anchoring bias, endowment effect, and identifiable-victim bias. In our experiment, DMfO is DMfO …We examine whether biases identified in the behavioral-economics literature apply in decision-making for others (DMfO …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011949189
The confirmation bias is a well-known form of motivated reasoning that serves to protect an individual from cognitive …. Because there is often systematic thought involved in generating the confirmation bias, deliberation tends to promote this … behavioral bias. Nevertheless, the importance of negative emotion in triggering the need for this bias is underappreciated. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013286207
Nash equilibrium action is zero). Using the level-k model of bounded rationality, cognitive ability and judgment both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014584425