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Asset market bubbles and crashes are a major source of economic instability and inefficiency. Sometimes ascribed to animal spirits or irrational exuberance, their source remains imperfectly understood. Experimental methods can isolate systematic deviations from an asset's fundamental value in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870688
We design an experiment to test the hypothesis that, in violation of Bayes Rule, some people respond more forcefully to the strength of information than to its weight. We provide incentives to motivate effort, use naturally occurring information, and control for risk attitude. We find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011347344
Traders in global markets operate at different local times-of-day. Suboptimal times-of-day may produce sleepiness due to daily variations in sleep/wake patterns and possibly also increased accumulation of hours awake. Global asset markets imply significantly increased heterogeneity in circadian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731909
offender's time discounting. We exploit quasi-experimental variation in sentence length generated by a large collective pardon … in Italy and provide non-parametric evidence on the extent of discounting from the raw data on recidivism and sentence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011453421
We investigate whether acquiring more education when young has long-term effects on risk-taking behavior in financial markets and whether the effects spill over to spouses and children. There is substantial evidence that more educated people are more likely to invest in the stock market....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498384
the economics domain. In the experiment we find that: 1) traditional economic models based on discounting alone cannot …; 2) our model, despite considering only a specific (exponential) form of discounting, can explain the data much better … basic predictions of discounting theories: the deviations are not random and there are clear systematic patterns of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003323162
. Yet, economic theory predicts that the scope for punishment as acting as a deterrent depends on how much individuals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010355861
This methodological survey reviews recent developments in the design of experiments to elicit individuals' time preferences, with a focus on the measurement or control for potentially non-linear utility. While the objective of a time preference experiment is usually to estimate parameters of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011458093
individual discount rate, this paper analyzes whether changes in time discounting can account for differences in body mass … remarkable increase in BMI experienced in recent years. We find some evidence for a link between time discounting and differences … our hypothesis the best chance, we analyze the development of the time discounting proxies that are most strongly related …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002805498
imposing any structural assumption on the instantaneous utility, intertemporal utility or the discounting functions. We find … assumption that discounting is consistent across domains can lead to non-negligible prediction errors in models involving non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012596211