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We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012178610
Examines the evolution of the cyclicality of real wages and employment in four Latin American economies: Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico, during the period 1980-2010. Wages are highly pro-cyclical during the 1980s and early 1990s, a period characterized by high inflation. As inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636567
shock. Third, we present evidence coherent with the idea that more leveraged sectors experience larger employment volatility … in normal times deep capital markets lead to tight labor markets. After an adverse liquidity shock, firms that rely much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613676
techniques applied to the analysis of six selected economies: France, Japan, Spain, Sweden, the United Kingdom (UK), and the … periods of economic turmoil. Okun's coefficient is most volatile in Spain and most stable in Sweden and Japan, with France, UK …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012054782
There is increasing evidence that the interaction between shocks and labour market institutions is crucial to understanding the dynamics of employment. In this paper, we show that the inclusion of labour adjustment costs in a trade model affects the impact of exchange rate movements on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003959141
Using the new AWFP dataset that covers all German establishments, we document a substantial cross-sectional heterogeneity of establishments' average real wages over the business cycle. While the median establishments' real wages are procyclical, there is a large fraction of establishments with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735900
Using detailed data on a cohort of young Americans who were in their late twenties and early thirties in 2008, we investigate the importance of forces different from economic incentives in nest-leaving decisions. We apply recent methods from social network econometrics to identify the importance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011531870
significantly larger if the wage shock is asymmetric across partners, not symmetric. Aggregating preferences and wages by gender and … aggregate wage-elasticities. Its size varies with the type of wage shock and the distribution of spouses across the preference …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012550274
Recent dynamic contracting models of downward real wage rigidity with "equal treatment" - newly hired workers cannot price themselves into jobs by undercutting incumbents – imply that real wages are relatively rigid in "bad" times but upwardly flexible during "good" times. We use an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011855567
We propose a new Sharpe ratio index obtained from return and volatility spillover indices to individual assets from the whole financial system. We use our new approach to shed light on a new perspective on a hot topic examining the safe-haven assets after Covid-19. To do that, we compare both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705552