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Predictability of asset returns and the efficient market hypothesis
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2010
This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003985756
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How does the economic uncertainty affect asset prices under normal and financial distress times?
Balcilar, Mehmet; Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin; Ozdemir, Huseyin - 2022
shocks depends on financial conditions. Our model allows us to change the response of the US financial markets to volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198932
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When the market drives you crazy : stock market returns and fatal car accidents
Guilietti, Corrado; Tonin, Mirco; Vlassopoulos, Michael - 2018
The stock market influences some of the most fundamental economic decisions of investors, such as consumption, saving, and labor supply, through the financial wealth channel. This paper provides evidence that daily fluctuations in the stock market have important - and hitherto neglected -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011893801
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Testing CAPM with a large number of assets
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Yamagata, Takashi - 2012
This paper is concerned with testing the time series implications of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) due to Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965), when the number of securities, N, is large relative to the time dimension, T, of the return series. In the case of cross-sectionally correlated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535779
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Long memory in Turkish unemployment rates
Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin; Tansel, Aysıt - 2017
case of female unemployment and the degree of persistence is higher in the cases of female and youth unemployment series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735904
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Trading while sleepy? : circadian mismatch and excess volatility in a global experimental asset market
Dickinson, David L.; Chaudhuri, Ananish; … - 2017
Traders in global markets operate at different local times-of-day. Suboptimal times-of-day may produce sleepiness due to daily variations in sleep/wake patterns and possibly also increased accumulation of hours awake. Global asset markets imply significantly increased heterogeneity in circadian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731909
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Investigating the asymmetric impact of oil prices on GCC stock markets
Cheikh, Nidhaleddine Ben; Ben Naceur, Samy; Kanaan, … - 2020
This paper investigates the presence of asymmetric relationship between oil price movements and Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets. We propose the implementation of nonlinear vector smooth transition regression (VSTR) models which offer a greater flexibility when modelling the possible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012314956
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The variability and volatility of sleep: an archetypal approach
Hamermesh, Daniel S.; Pfann, Gerard A. - 2022
individuals' sleep time exhibits both variability and volatility characterized by stationary autoregressive conditional … young children at home. Volatility is greater among parents with young children, slightly greater among men than women, but … rates. Volatility in sleep spills over onto volatility in other personal activities, with no reverse causation onto sleep …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805079
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Google econometrics and unemployment forecasting
Askitas, Nikolaos; Zimmermann, Klaus F. - 2009
The current economic crisis requires fast information to predict economic behavior early, which is difficult at times of structural changes. This paper suggests an innovative new method of using data on internet activity for that purpose. It demonstrates strong correlations between keyword...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003859346
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Minimum wages and employment : reconsidering the use of a time-series approach as an evaluation tool
Lee, Wang-Sheng; Suardi, Sandy - 2010
The time-series approach used in the minimum wage literature essentially aims to estimate a treatment effect of increasing the minimum wage. In this paper, we employ a novel approach based on aggregate time-series data that allows us to determine if minimum wage changes have significant effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003939247