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Explaining post-Cold-War civil conflict among 17 billion models: the importance of history and religion
Jetter, Michael; Mahmood, Rafat; Parmeter, Christopher F.; … - 2020
Model uncertainty remains a persistent concern when exploring the drivers of civil conflict and civil war. Considering a comprehensive set of 34 potential determinants in 175 post-Cold-War countries (covering 98.2% of the world population), we employ stochastic search variable selection (SSVS)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012254097
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Peacefully demobilizing rebels : identity, emotional cues, and the FARC
Aparicio, Juan P.; Jetter, Michael; Parsons, Christopher R. - 2023
In the early 2000s, the Colombian government aired messages during games of the national football team, urging FARC rebels to demobilize. We first study the strategy's effectiveness, leveraging game dates, kick-off times, and spatial-temporal variation in rain-induced signal strength in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014249859
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The impact of Syrian refugees on natives' labor market outcomes in Turkey : evidence from a quasi-experimental design
Ceritoglu, Evren; Yunculer, H. Burcu Gurcihan; Torun, … - 2015
Civil war in Syria, which started in March 2011, has led to a massive wave of forced immigration from the Northern … Syria to the Southeastern regions of Turkey. This paper exploits this natural experiment to estimate the impact of Syrian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346756
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Ethnic divisions and the onset of civil wars in Syria
Abosedra, Salah S.; Fakih, Ali; Haimoun, Nathir - 2021
very important factor in starting both the civil and ethnic conflict in Syria, but it shows that the lack of power …-sharing to be the most significant factor. Therefore, where power in Syria was not inclusive and shared among different … conflicts in Syria. The paper offers detailed policy suggestions that could serve as a recovery mechanism for the Syrian crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012406061
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The effects of civil war and forced migration on intimate partner violence among Syrian refugee women in Jordan
Kirdar, Murat G. - 2024
analysis, we examine the hazard rates of IPV exposure across different periods: prewar Syria, postwar Syria, and refugee status …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015062035
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Does conflict disrupt growth? : evidence of the relationship between political instability and national economic performance
Polachek, Solomon W.; Sevastianova, Daria - 2010
Current empirical growth models limit the determinants of country growth to geographic, economic, and institutional variables. This study draws on conflict variables from the Correlates of War (COW) project to ask a critical question: How do different types of conflict affect country growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003940441
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Business in genocide : understanding and avoiding complicity
Stel, Nora; Naudé, Wim - 2016
Genocides and mass atrocities do not arise spontaneously, but tend to be meticulously sourced and managed. As such the concern in this paper is with the role of businesses in these processes, with a particular focus on the agency and decision making of entrepreneurs and managers. We critically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011452640
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Peace, terrorism, or civil conflict? : understanding the decision of an opposition group
Jetter, Michael - 2016
When do opposition groups decide to mount a terrorism campaign and when do they enter an open civil conflict against the ruling government? This paper models an opposition group's choice between peace, terrorism, and open conflict. Terrorism emerges if executive constraints are intermediate and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011493846
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How civilian attitudes respond to the state's violence: lessons from the Israel-Gaza conflict
Loewenthal, Amit; Miaari, Sami H.; Abrahams, Alexei - 2021
States, in their conflicts with militant groups embedded in civilian populations, often resort to policies of collective punishment to erode civilian support for the militants. We attempt to evaluate the efficacy of such policies in the context of the Gaza Strip, where Israel's blockade and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012648941
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Violent conflict exposure in Nigeria and economic welfare
Odozi, John Chiwuzulum; Uwaifo Oyelere, Ruth - 2019
Several papers have attempted to estimate and document the impact of conflict on several education, health and socioeconomic outcomes. One lesson from the past research is the heterogeneity in the effect of violent conflict across and within countries. In this paper we attempt to estimate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012100352