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Predictability of asset returns and the efficient market hypothesis

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2010

This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003985756

Volatility and growth : governments are key

Jetter, Michael - 2013

paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries a positive direct effect, but also a … volatility is then ambiguous. The paper reveals the underlying endogeneity of government size in a balanced panel of 95 countries … increase of volatility lowers growth by up to 0.57 percentage points in a democracy, but raises growth by 1.74 percentage …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228789

Financial markets, banks' cost of funding, and firms' decisions : lessons from two crises

Balduzzi, Pierluigi; Brancati, Emanuele; Schiantarelli, … - 2013

We test whether financial fluctuations affect firms' decisions, through their impact on banks' cost of funding. We exploit two shocks to Italian bank CDS spreads and equity valuations: the 2007-2009 financial crisis and the 2010-2012 sovereign debt crisis. Using newly available data linking over...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010229932

The variability and volatility of sleep: an archetypal approach

Hamermesh, Daniel S.; Pfann, Gerard A. - 2022

individuals' sleep time exhibits both variability and volatility characterized by stationary autoregressive conditional … young children at home. Volatility is greater among parents with young children, slightly greater among men than women, but … independent of other demographics. A theory of economic incentives to minimize the dispersion of sleep predicts that higher …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805079

Skewness expectations and portfolio choice

Drerup, Tilman H.; Wibral, Matthias; Zimpelmann, Christian - 2022

Many models of investor behavior predict that investors prefer assets that they believe to have positively skewed return distributions. We provide a direct test of this prediction in a representative sample of the Dutch population. Using individual-level data on return expectations for a broad...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805556

From Stocks to Flows – Evidence for the Climate-Migration-Nexus

Berlemann, Michael; Haustein, Erik; Steinhardt, Max … - 2021

Slow onset climate change has the potential to cause significant migration flows. Scientists have recently made considerable efforts to quantify these flows based on empirical methods. However, the literature on international migration has failed to come to a clear conclusion as many studies...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223780

Reward or punishment? : the distribution of life-cycle returns to political office

Dahlgaard, Jens Olav; Kristensen, Nicolai; Larsen, … - 2022

How political office is remunerated will affect who decides to engage in politics. Even if average returns to office are positive, as unilaterally found in the literature, some office holders' returns are likely zero or negative. The timing of returns to office are crucial too, as politicians...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191576

Firm heterogeneity in skill returns

Böhm, Michael; Esmkhani, Khalil; Gallipoli, Giovanni - 2023

We quantify firm heterogeneity in skill returns and present direct evidence of worker–firm complementarities. Within a model of firms' demand for cognitive and noncognitive attributes we show that identification depends on the availability of skill measures. Linking administrative data to test...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014442305

Forecasting time series subject to multiple structural breaks

Pesaran, M. Hashem (contributor); … - 2004 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002120362

Is entrepreneurial success predictable? : An ex-ante analysis of the character-based approach

Caliendo, Marco (contributor); … - 2007

is slightly better than that of the questionnaire, but lower than expected in theory. Interestingly, for those subgroups …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003540253

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