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. A penalized least squares estimation is linked to the GLS (Aitken) estimates of the corresponding linear model with time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012161405
This paper is concerned with testing the time series implications of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) due to Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965), when the number of securities, N, is large relative to the time dimension, T, of the return series. In the case of cross-sectionally correlated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535779
paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries a positive direct effect, but also a … volatility is then ambiguous. The paper reveals the underlying endogeneity of government size in a balanced panel of 95 countries … increase of volatility lowers growth by up to 0.57 percentage points in a democracy, but raises growth by 1.74 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228789
European unemployment rates. They also generate positive comovements in macroeconomic variables and a large relative volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003879337
proposed. The expression for a modified likelihood function is obtained for estimation and inference in a fixed-T context …. Using a bias-corrected likelihood approach makes it possible to reduce the estimation bias to a term of order 1/T². The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003936729
vanished, (ii) the relative volatility of employment has risen, and (iii) the relative (and absolute) volatility of the real … observed decline in output volatility. -- labor hoarding ; labor market frictions ; wage rigidities ; effort choice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008779865
than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC estimation procedure is applied to a portfolio of daily returns on …-DCC specification. The t-DCC model also passes a number of VaR diagnostic tests over an evaluation sample. The estimation results … suggest a general trend towards a lower level of return volatility, accompanied by a rising trend in conditional cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003586562
What is the relationship between economic growth and its volatility? Does political instability affect growth directly … or indirectly, through volatility? This paper tries to answer such questions using a power-ARCH framework with annual … legislative changes) has an indirect (through volatility) negative impact. We also find preliminary support for the idea that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003557361
We provide new evidence about earnings and labour market volatility in Britain over the period 1992-2008, and for women … as well as men. (Most research about volatility refers to earnings volatility for US men.) We show that earnings … volatility declined slightly for both men and women over the period but the changes are not statistically significant. When we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009770646
Since the last recession, it is usually argued that older workers are less affected by the economic downturn because their unemployment rate rose less than the one of prime-age workers. This view is a myth: older workers are more sensitive to the business cycle. We document volatilities of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339640