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from the right and one from the left, using panel data from 290 municipal election districts. To identify causal effects … incumbency advantage in the next election. Exploring possible mechanisms, we find evidence that when the anti-immigrant party … wins a marginal seat, they experience higher levels of politician turnover before the next election and receive negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011898924
the surprise 2016 election of Trump to identify the effects of a shift in political power on one of the most consequential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800554
This paper develops a theoretical framework that makes predictions on (a) the conditions under which a populist party decides to run and the policy position it takes and (b) voters' response under different electoral systems. We test these predictions using data on Italian municipal elections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012296208
municipal election districts. To identify causal effects, we take advantage of large nonlinearities in the function which … more votes in the next election after gaining a seat, while the anti-immigrant and far left parties lose their incumbency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011580859
Do voters place their trust in tried and tested leaders when uncertainty is high or do they prefer a new slate of leaders who are arguably more competent? To study this question, we make use of hand-collected data on 402,385 candidates who competed in open-list local council elections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347142
in open-list local council elections (1997-2021) in the German state of Hesse. We exploit the March 2021 election one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014557590
Using newly digitized data on the growth of the telegraph network in America during 1840-1852, the paper studies the impacts of the electric telegraph on national elections. I use proximity to daily newspapers with telegraphic connections to Washington to generate plausibly exogenous variation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014315749
We study the electoral impact of protesting against the far right by investigating the demonstrations held during the 2002 French presidential elections against far-right candidate Jean-Marie Le Pen. Instrumenting rally attendance with rainfall while factoring in that some municipalities never...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013407567
This study analyzes the importance of parental socialization on the development of children's far right-wing preferences and attitudes towards immigration. Using longitudinal data from Germany, our intergenerational estimates suggest that the strongest and most important predictor for young...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346633
narrow margins of victory in a Regression Discontinuity framework. The election of Lega Nord mayor discourages immigrants …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011625341