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Predictability of asset returns and the efficient market hypothesis
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2010
This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003985756
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How does the economic uncertainty affect asset prices under normal and financial distress times?
Balcilar, Mehmet; Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin; Ozdemir, Huseyin - 2022
By using a nonlinear VAR model, we investigate whether the response of the US stock and housing markets to uncertainty shocks depends on financial conditions. Our model allows us to change the response of the US financial markets to volatility shocks in periods of normal and financial distress....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198932
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Testing CAPM with a large number of assets
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Yamagata, Takashi - 2012
This paper is concerned with testing the time series implications of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) due to … evidence against Sharpe-Lintner CAPM is found mainly during the recent financial crisis. Furthermore, a strong negative … during episodes of market inefficiencies. -- CAPM ; testing for alpha ; market efficiency ; long/short equity returns ; large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535779
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Skewness expectations and portfolio choice
Drerup, Tilman H.; Wibral, Matthias; Zimpelmann, Christian - 2022
Many models of investor behavior predict that investors prefer assets that they believe to have positively skewed return distributions. We provide a direct test of this prediction in a representative sample of the Dutch population. Using individual-level data on return expectations for a broad...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805556
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Groupthink : collective delusions in organizations and markets
Bénabou, Roland - 2013
This paper investigates collective denial and willful blindness in groups, organizations and markets. Agents with anticipatory preferences, linked through an interaction structure, choose how to interpret and recall public signals about future prospects. Wishful thinking (denial of bad news) is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009729409
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Higher-order beliefs and risky asset holdings
Gorodnichenko, Yuriy; Yin, Xiao - 2024
We combine a customized survey and randomized controlled trial (RCT) to study the effect of higher-order beliefs on U.S. retail investors' portfolio allocations. We find that investors' higher-order beliefs about stock market returns are correlated with but distinct from their first-order...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014580789
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Less myth, more measurement : decomposing excess returns from the 1989 minimum wage hike
Lin, Carl - 2012
In the book Myth and Measurement, Card and Krueger (1995) examine the economic impact of the 1989 minimum wage hike on the welfare of 110 firms which employ a disproportionate number of minimum-wage workers. Their results show mixed evidence that excess returns associated with news about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009528836
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Investigating the asymmetric impact of oil prices on GCC stock markets
Cheikh, Nidhaleddine Ben; Ben Naceur, Samy; Kanaan, … - 2020
This paper investigates the presence of asymmetric relationship between oil price movements and Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets. We propose the implementation of nonlinear vector smooth transition regression (VSTR) models which offer a greater flexibility when modelling the possible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012314956
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Risk sharing within and outside the firm: the disparate effects of wrongful discharge laws on expected stock returns
Mahlstedt, Robert; Weber, Rüdiger - 2020
We study the effect of wrongful-discharge laws (WDL) on firm-level stock returns. We find disparate effects depending on the exact design of the law. Consistent with rational, risk-based pricing, the effect on returns seems to be linked to how firms share systematic risk with their employees...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012373128
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Stock market returns and consumption
Di Maggio, Marco; Kermani, Amir; Majlesi, Kaveh - 2018
This paper employs Swedish data on households' stock holdings to investigate how consumption responds to changes in stock market returns. We instrument the actual capital gains and dividend payments with past portfolio weights. Unrealized capital gains lead to a marginal propensity to consume...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011803183