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Higher-order beliefs and risky asset holdings
Gorodnichenko, Yuriy; Yin, Xiao - 2024
We combine a customized survey and randomized controlled trial (RCT) to study the effect of higher-order beliefs on U.S. retail investors' portfolio allocations. We find that investors' higher-order beliefs about stock market returns are correlated with but distinct from their first-order...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014580789
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How does the economic uncertainty affect asset prices under normal and financial distress times?
Balcilar, Mehmet; Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin; Ozdemir, Huseyin - 2022
By using a nonlinear VAR model, we investigate whether the response of the US stock and housing markets to uncertainty shocks depends on financial conditions. Our model allows us to change the response of the US financial markets to volatility shocks in periods of normal and financial distress....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198932
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League-table incentives and price bubbles in experimental asset markets
Cheung, Stephen L.; Coleman, Andrew - 2011
We study experimental markets in which participants face incentives modeled upon those prevailing in markets for managed funds. Each participant's portfolio is periodically evaluated at market value and ranked in a league table according to short-term paper returns. Those who rank highly attract...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009306962
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Private information, human capital, and optimal “home bias” in financial markets
Ehrlich, Isaac; Shin, Jong Kook; Yin, Yong - 2011
By allowing for imperfectly informed markets and the role of private information, we offer new insights about observed deviations of portfolio concentrations in domestic relative to foreign risky assets, or "home bias", from what standard finance models predict. Our model ascribes the "bias" to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009516904
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Predictability of asset returns and the efficient market hypothesis
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2010
This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003985756
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To see is to believe : common expectations in experimental asset markets
Cheung, Stephen L.; Hedegaard, Morten; Palan, Stefan - 2012
We challenge the recent claim that mispricing in the experimental asset markets introduced by Smith, Suchanek, and Williams (1988) is merely an artefact of confusion over declining fundamental value, and can be eliminated through appropriate training. We instead propose that when training is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009631461
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A theory of social impact bonds
Tortorice, Daniel L.; Bloom, David E.; Kirby, Paige; … - 2020
Social impact bonds (SIBs) are an innovative financing mechanism for public goods. In a SIB, an investor provides capital to a service provider for a social intervention. The investor receives a return based on the outcome of the intervention relative to a predetermined benchmark. We describe...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243331
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Trading while sleepy? : circadian mismatch and excess volatility in a global experimental asset market
Dickinson, David L.; Chaudhuri, Ananish; … - 2017
Traders in global markets operate at different local times-of-day. Suboptimal times-of-day may produce sleepiness due to daily variations in sleep/wake patterns and possibly also increased accumulation of hours awake. Global asset markets imply significantly increased heterogeneity in circadian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731909
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Mind, body, bubble! : psychological and biophysical dimensions of behavior in experimental asset markets
Butler, David J.; Cheung, Stephen L. - 2018
Asset market bubbles and crashes are a major source of economic instability and inefficiency. Sometimes ascribed to animal spirits or irrational exuberance, their source remains imperfectly understood. Experimental methods can isolate systematic deviations from an asset's fundamental value in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870688
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Testing CAPM with a large number of assets
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Yamagata, Takashi - 2012
This paper is concerned with testing the time series implications of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) due to … evidence against Sharpe-Lintner CAPM is found mainly during the recent financial crisis. Furthermore, a strong negative … during episodes of market inefficiencies. -- CAPM ; testing for alpha ; market efficiency ; long/short equity returns ; large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535779