Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 2,449
Cover Image
Uncertainty shocks and unemployment dynamics
Kandoussi, Malak; Langot, François - 2020
Recent events suggest that uncertainty changes play a major role in U.S. labor market fluctuations. This study analyzes the impact of uncertainty shocks on unemployment dynamics. Using a vector autoregression approach, we show that uncertainty shocks measured by stock market volatility have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243477
Cover Image
Oil price shocks, monetary policy and current account imbalances within a currency union
Baas, Timo; Belke, Ansgar - 2017
trade result in an asymmetric reaction to an otherwise symmetric shock. In this context, we show that oil price shocks can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011785688
Cover Image
Resolving puzzles of monetary policy transmission in emerging markets
Ha, Jongrim; Kim, Dohan; Kose, M. Ayhan; Prasad, Eswar S. - 2024
Conventional empirical models of monetary policy transmission in emerging market economies produce puzzling results: monetary tightening often leads to an increase in prices (the price puzzle) and depreciation of the currency (the FX puzzle). We show that incorporating forward-looking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015084194
Cover Image
Uniform and nonuniform staggering of wage contracts
Danziger, Leif - 2010
This paper provides a model that can account for the almost uniform staggering of wage contracts in some countries as well as for the markedly nonuniform staggering in others. In the model, short and long contracts as well as long contracts concluded in different periods are strategic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003983623
Cover Image
The role of real wage rigidity and labor market frictions for unemployment and inflation dynamics
Christoffel, Kai (contributor); Linzert, Tobias (contributor) - 2005
cycle model. In particular, we analyze the effect of a monetary policy shock and investigate how labor market frictions … persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003227218
Cover Image
Causal effects of monetary shocks : semiparametric conditional independence tests with a multinomial propensity score
Angrist, Joshua D. (contributor);  … - 2008
Macroeconomists have long been concerned with the causal effects of monetary policy. When the identification of causal effects is based on a selection-on-observables assumption, non-causality amounts to the conditional independence of outcomes and policy changes. This paper develops a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003739948
Cover Image
Monetary persistence, imperfect competition, and staggering complementarities
Merkl, Christian (contributor);  … - 2007
This paper explores the influence of wage and price staggering on monetary persistence. We show that, for plausible parameter values, wage and price staggering are complementary in generating monetary persistence. We do so by proposing the new measure of "quantitative inertia," after discussing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003557342
Cover Image
Monetary persistence and the labor market : a new perspective
Lechthaler, Wolfgang (contributor);  … - 2008
that the employment rate is slow to converge to its steady state value after a monetary shock. The after-effects of a shock … continue to exert an effect on the labor market even long after the shock is over. The sluggishness of the labor market … translates to the product market and thus the output effects of the monetary shock become more persistent. Under reasonable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003719627
Cover Image
Assessing forecast uncertainties in a VECX model for Switzerland : an exercise in forecast combination across models and observation windows
Assenmacher-Wesche, Katrin (contributor);  … - 2007
We investigate the effect of forecast uncertainty in a cointegrating vector error correction model for Switzerland. Forecast uncertainty is evaluated in three different dimensions. First, we investigate the effect on forecasting performance of averaging over forecasts from different models....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003561644
Cover Image
Evolving wage cyclicality in Latin America
Gambetti, Luca; Messina, Julián - 2017
Examines the evolution of the cyclicality of real wages and employment in four Latin American economies: Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico, during the period 1980-2010. Wages are highly pro-cyclical during the 1980s and early 1990s, a period characterized by high inflation. As inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636567