This paper provides new survey evidence on firms' inflation expectations in the euro area. Building on the ECB's Survey … on the Access to Finance of Enterprises (SAFE), we introduce consistent measurement of inflation expectations across … firms' inflation expectations and show that firms disagree about future inflation more than professional forecasters but …

inflation observed in the European catching-up countries, which suggests that other factors may be at play. In these and related … non-traded sectors) on the dual inflation differential is more than twice as large as that in the "flexible" countries. We … conclude that, in a catching-up country, premature euro adoption may foster excess inflation, beyond that which is to be …

This paper analyzes the relationship between unemployment and wage inflation for 10 of the euro area countries. The … combination of low wage inflation and high unemployment in Europe is usually attributed to a rise in the natural rate of … unemployment that may account for a changing pattern in the unemployment inflation trade-off. Moreover, it analyzes whether the …

and real wage rigidities. In our analysis, we focus on the differentials in inflation and unemployment between countries … inflation and unemployment differentials. Second, we find that asymmetries in labor market structures tend to increase the … volatility of both inflation and unemployment differentials. Finally, we show that it is important to take into account the …

of inflation, mortgage rates, and unemployment to the effects of communication about future inflation in a randomized … then provide 22 different forms of information regarding past, current and/or future inflation and interest rates … beyond one year do not have any additional impact on forecasts. Exogenous variation in inflation expectations transmits into …

inflation (sunspot shocks) affecting nominal wage bargaining. Since the estimated parameters fall near the locus of Hopf … bifurcations, country-specific expected inflation shocks can replicate the strong persistence and heterogeneity observed in …, choose to consume their current income. -- Unemployment fluctuations ; sunspots equilibria ; expected inflation ; wage …

Introducing a new survey of U.S. firms' inflation expectations, we document key stylized facts involving what U ….S. firms know and expect about inflation and monetary policy. The resulting time series of firms' inflation expectations … "anchored" expectations, the inflation expectations of U.S. managers appear far from anchored, much like those of households …