world have altered the transmission mechanism of international business cycles to Latin America. Evidence based on a Global … world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … associated with a deceleration in China's economic growth in the future for both Latin America and the rest of the world economy …

Prediction markets - markets used to forecast future events - have been used to accurately forecast the outcome of …

errors either in the form of numbers or graphs; and in the fourth treatment (Forecast), participants are offered a forecast … to Baseline, b) Feedback-N, Feedback-G, and Forecast significantly reduce bias relative to both Baseline and Step, c) the …

forecast errors; the training effect suggests that modest educational interventions can durably improve forecasting skills …. Forecast receipt increased demand for protective masks and increased the responsiveness of outdoor time to pollution. Forecast …

mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in forecast errors. We test for such convexity using data on the universe of …