Showing 1 - 10 of 782
than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC estimation procedure is applied to a portfolio of daily returns on … suggest a general trend towards a lower level of return volatility, accompanied by a rising trend in conditional cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003586562
Since the demise of the Bretton Woods system, the yen has seen several episodes of strong appreciation, including in … been associated with "expensive yen recessions" resulting from negative effects on exports; since the late 1980s, the … strong yen has also raised concerns about a de-industrialisation of the Japanese economy. Against this backdrop, the paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012099480
In this paper, a survey on theoretically expected and empirically proved impacts of exchange rate volatility is given …. With regard to the West German unemployment, the effects of volatility are empirically analysed using three different … volatility measures and four country groups. In autoregressive models, a significant disturbing impact of volatility can be found …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011294706
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001937672
We examine the Exchange Rate Volatility (ERV) response to the Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) shocks from a panel VAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012239005
contagion spillover volatility by focusing on a sample of major oil-exporting and oil-importing countries using daily data from …; during COVID-19; and during the Russian-Ukrainian war. Our results confirm the persistence of volatility for the series … volatility transmission between oil prices and exchange-rate markets. However, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014494631
While most empirical analysis of prediction markets treats prices of binary options as predictions of the probability of future events, Manski (2004) has recently argued that there is little existing theory supporting this practice. We provide relevant analytic foundations, describing sufficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003310964
Political economists interested in discerning the effects of election outcomes on the economy have been hampered by the problem that economic outcomes also influence elections. We sidestep these problems by analyzing movements in economic indicators caused by clearly exogenous changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003289884
paper offers a solution to this disagreement, suggesting that volatility carries a positive direct effect, but also a … volatility is then ambiguous. The paper reveals the underlying endogeneity of government size in a balanced panel of 95 countries … increase of volatility lowers growth by up to 0.57 percentage points in a democracy, but raises growth by 1.74 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228789
Common measures of cultural attitudes, such as those constructed from the World Values Survey, are characterized by … substantial within-country volatility. This volatility is at odds with the notion of culture adopted in economics: a set of slow …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012130251